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Paper Says Social Distancing Doesn’t Work; Lockdowns Don’t Work; Deaths At Yearly Low; More — Coronavirus Update LXIII
Posted inStatistics

Paper Says Social Distancing Doesn’t Work; Lockdowns Don’t Work; Deaths At Yearly Low; More — Coronavirus Update LXIII

Look for new plots in the update below. A RARE SIGHTING I will join this robust list of malcontents, lunatics, deniers, outcasts and iconoclasts in my speech, "Fools! I will…
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That Bangladesh Mask Study Shows AT BEST A Population Seroprevalence Reduction Of 0.0026%, And Likely Smaller: Plus Four New Studies Showing Mask Mandates Are Useless
Posted inStatistics

That Bangladesh Mask Study Shows AT BEST A Population Seroprevalence Reduction Of 0.0026%, And Likely Smaller: Plus Four New Studies Showing Mask Mandates Are Useless

Some warm-up exercises, then we review the Bangladeshi paper. But first a reminder: I have no burden, no burden whatsoever, not even in the least degree, to prove mask mandates…
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Science, Like The Internet, Was Too Good To Last: How Cancel Culture Happens
Posted inStatistics

Science, Like The Internet, Was Too Good To Last: How Cancel Culture Happens

Anybody over thirty will remember the Wild West internet of the late 90s and oughts. You could say anything, see anything, do anything. It was great. It was a manly…
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On Excess Deaths & Covid: Could Vaccines Be Upping Totals? — Coronavirus Update CIII
Posted inStatistics

On Excess Deaths & Covid: Could Vaccines Be Upping Totals? — Coronavirus Update CIII

This week I thought it would be fun to focus on Expert over-certainty, hubris, and absurdity. And, of course, theirs and rulers' bloodthirstyness. But before all that, a serious analysis…
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Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas

Link to all Classes. Video (Hagfish: I was in such a hurry, I forgot my jacket.) Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos…
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I Bring You Glad Tidings! Three New Papers Prove (Again) You Can Take Them Off Without Worry
Posted inStatistics

I Bring You Glad Tidings! Three New Papers Prove (Again) You Can Take Them Off Without Worry

"Masks don't work" is a proposition, like all propositions, that carries implicit definitions. In this case it means mask mandates don't reduce the spread of respiratory diseases. It does not…
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Judge Recognizes CDC’s Failed Its Burden To Provide Proof On Masks
Posted inStatistics

Judge Recognizes CDC’s Failed Its Burden To Provide Proof On Masks

A judge yesterday whacked the CDC's overreaching mask mandate. The judge said "the mandate exceeded the CDC statutory authority, improperly invoked the good clause exemption to notice and comment rulemaking…
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How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis
Posted inStatistics

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…
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    some time ago it was said that to ensure a research grant the proposal should make reference to global boiling.…

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