Some warm-up exercises, then we review the Bangladeshi paper. But first a reminder: I have no burden, no burden whatsoever, not even in the least degree, to prove mask mandates…

This week I thought it would be fun to focus on Expert over-certainty, hubris, and absurdity. And, of course, theirs and rulers' bloodthirstyness. But before all that, a serious analysis…

Anybody over thirty will remember the Wild West internet of the late 90s and oughts. You could say anything, see anything, do anything. It was great. It was a manly…

"Masks don't work" is a proposition, like all propositions, that carries implicit definitions. In this case it means mask mandates don't reduce the spread of respiratory diseases. It does not…

A judge yesterday whacked the CDC's overreaching mask mandate. The judge said "the mandate exceeded the CDC statutory authority, improperly invoked the good clause exemption to notice and comment rulemaking…

I'm happy to report that we had a good crop of predictions for 2024. As is usual, I only highlight the best, or worst, or funniest forecast every entrant gave.…

Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…

NOTHING MORTAL GOES FOREVER Should we quit these updates? I know I've grown sick of them. Are you? Maybe replace them with articles when warranted, such as what our dear…