Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy
How can you tell if a vaccine for a bug is effective? It's not so easy; indeed, it can be excruciatingly difficult. At the individual person level you'd need to…
Posted inCulture Statistics
The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors
The Vatican issued a new Apostolic Exhortation, given in the name of Pope Francis, entitled Laudate Deum. The document is addressed "To all people of good will on the climate…
Posted inFun
The Time Is Now For It To Be Now. Again.
What's Up? Time for our biannual update, dear readers. My forays into this new thing called "video" have, at long last, begun. It took me so long because I do…
Posted inStatistics
All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False
Here's a typical recent propaganda headline: "Climate change made Libya flooding 50 times more likely: Report." This is not so. Here's another recent one from PBS: "Climate change made global…
Posted inStatistics
Modern The Science & The Unpersoning Of Evidence
There is no typo in the title. We are discussing The Science, and not science. Science-sans-article is chugging along, doing okay there, and poorly there, the whole decaying for all…
Posted inPhilosophy
The Great Grand Bluff Of Science
Everybody knows the story of the turtles. The earth is held up by four large elephants, some say, which stand on the shell of an enormous turtle. When asked what…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
Somebody Might Get Hurt!
For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
Big Muscles: Experts Know Best
For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…