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William M. Briggs

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Regime Now Coming For Your Gas Stove. Yes, Really. They “Cause” Asthma
Posted inStatistics

Regime Now Coming For Your Gas Stove. Yes, Really. They “Cause” Asthma

Since many won't believe it: https://twitter.com/TheInsiderPaper/status/1612569909556400163 And in a remarkable coincidence, this also came out yesterday: https://twitter.com/mattparlmer/status/1612477853131739137 So the Regime is coming for gas stoves. Not their gas stoves: Regime…
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How Bad Science Becomes The Science: Climate & Public Health Example
Posted inPodcast Statistics

How Bad Science Becomes The Science: Climate & Public Health Example

This post is also available as a podcast. My voice improves. We're working on putting these into a regular feed. Or watch at YouTube. In my not-yet-banned talk on the…
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All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings

Seventy-some researcher groups were given identical data, and asked to investigate an identical question. The groups did not communicate. Details are in the paper "Observing Many Researchers Using the Same…
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The Disparagement Of Epidemiology
Posted inStatistics

The Disparagement Of Epidemiology

I was having an argument with a friend who was on his way to a conference to point out the shortcomings and over-confidence of Evidence Based Medicine (EBM). With EBM,…
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Experts: Not Showing Ads Leads To 94,867 Fewer Cases Of Obesity In London
Posted inStatistics

Experts: Not Showing Ads Leads To 94,867 Fewer Cases Of Obesity In London

Repeat after me: all models only say what they are told to say. https://twitter.com/MayorofLondon/status/1554464060732735488 An incredible result, says the mayor of London. Let's see how this incredible result came to…
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“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”
Posted inStatistics

“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”

That lack of, or low, serotonin drives "depression" is a medial truism, say many. Those who say it most strongly are those companies manufacturing chemicals to boost serotonin levels (or…
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The Common Cause In All Reproducibility Crises
Posted inStatistics

The Common Cause In All Reproducibility Crises

Here is a cartoon, but a revealing one. Type "reproducibility crisis in" in your search engine and let it suggest the ending of the sentence, as we did here: Science,…
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Spurious Correlations Proves Hypothesis Testing Should Be Abandoned
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Spurious Correlations Proves Hypothesis Testing Should Be Abandoned

This week traditionally is a slow week on the blog, so let me have a go at explaining something I've explained a few hundred times before, a thing which has…
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  1. NLR on Against Numerology: Some Basic CalculationsOctober 19, 2026

    The mathematician Richard Guy wrote a paper "The strong law of small numbers", where he said, facetiously, but also serirously:…

  2. aGrimm on Book UpdateOctober 16, 2026

    I'm looking forward to the book; warts and all the first was enlightening and fun to read.

  3. John Pate on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I'm a big fan of LaTeX. I wrote a class package that made it into one or more of the…

  4. Ursula on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    i have your first edition which I read, pencil in hand foor the typos. Loved it anyway! Will be buying…

  5. Brian (buaoren) on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    Hello again, friend Briggs How colloquial is your French? Please allow me to be te first to wish you; Merde!

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