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All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings

Seventy-some researcher groups were given identical data, and asked to investigate an identical question. The groups did not communicate. Details are in the paper "Observing Many Researchers Using the Same…
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The Disparagement Of Epidemiology
Posted inStatistics

The Disparagement Of Epidemiology

I was having an argument with a friend who was on his way to a conference to point out the shortcomings and over-confidence of Evidence Based Medicine (EBM). With EBM,…
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Experts: Not Showing Ads Leads To 94,867 Fewer Cases Of Obesity In London
Posted inStatistics

Experts: Not Showing Ads Leads To 94,867 Fewer Cases Of Obesity In London

Repeat after me: all models only say what they are told to say. https://twitter.com/MayorofLondon/status/1554464060732735488 An incredible result, says the mayor of London. Let's see how this incredible result came to…
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“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”
Posted inStatistics

“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”

That lack of, or low, serotonin drives "depression" is a medial truism, say many. Those who say it most strongly are those companies manufacturing chemicals to boost serotonin levels (or…
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The Common Cause In All Reproducibility Crises
Posted inStatistics

The Common Cause In All Reproducibility Crises

Here is a cartoon, but a revealing one. Type "reproducibility crisis in" in your search engine and let it suggest the ending of the sentence, as we did here: Science,…
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Spurious Correlations Proves Hypothesis Testing Should Be Abandoned
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Spurious Correlations Proves Hypothesis Testing Should Be Abandoned

This week traditionally is a slow week on the blog, so let me have a go at explaining something I've explained a few hundred times before, a thing which has…
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In Which We Answer The Pressing Question: Is Science Growing Stupider?
Posted inStatistics

In Which We Answer The Pressing Question: Is Science Growing Stupider?

I was asked this question the other day: "Is science becoming stupider?" I was forced to answer this way: "Boy, howdy! Science will be lucky to reach stupid the end…
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David Stove Exposes Karl Popper’s Wee P!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

David Stove Exposes Karl Popper’s Wee P!

We have discussed before (and in detail here) how Fisher, inventor of the wee P of which scientists boast ("Look how small my P is!" shouted the excited scientist), was…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto WattJuly 6, 2026

    Sorry folks, my 1st comment today seems to have been lost in the ether. The Howard Johnson's reference makes no…

  2. Steve on The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto WattJuly 6, 2026

    I wondered the same thing, Cloudbuster. What I understand of the case is even worse -- John Marshall himself was…

  3. Brian ( bulaoren) on The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto WattJuly 6, 2026

    Yeah, I know; Howard Johnson's is defunct, like our constitution (?).

  4. Brian (bulauren) on The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto WattJuly 6, 2026

    If an absent voter's mail-in ballot is received after the date of the election but postmarked earlier, is it counted?…

  5. Ray on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJuly 6, 2026

    This book looks like a wonderful example of the old saying, if you can't dazzle them with your brilliance, baffle…

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