Posted inStatistics
Science Proves Unemployment Cures Covid — Coronadoom Update CXIV
We still await the blessings or curses of the so-called Supreme Court. Since we don't know what they will do, we cannot say much about it. What I can do…
Posted inStatistics
Why Much Of Science Is Fake
Why is so much of Science now fake? There are many small reasons, but one big one. Our Expertocracy. Here is a small survey proving this. Anon posted a cri…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics
Here it is, friends, the one complete universal simple function, the only function you will ever need to fit any---I said any---dataset x. And all it takes is one---I said…
Posted inStatistics
The New CDC Masks Mandate Study Is Not Good
https://twitter.com/ianmSC/status/1442965194150457344 How would you check if mask mandates worked in schools? I can think of only one way. Contrast kids in schools with mandates and in those without. Get them…
Posted inStatistics
Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause
Everybody has read, or seen adaptations of, Bram Stocker's documentation of Dracula, the undead count, unlate of Transylvania. From these pages and films, we all know how to kill a…
Posted inFun
Blog Mechanics: Ideas Solicited On How To Handle Comments: Update
It was remarked the other day that a comment moderation system of some kind should be used here on the blog. The reason is that are some people who come…
Posted inStatistics
How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis
Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…
Posted inPhilosophy
Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…