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Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause
Posted inStatistics

Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause

Everybody has read, or seen adaptations of, Bram Stocker's documentation of Dracula, the undead count, unlate of Transylvania. From these pages and films, we all know how to kill a…
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Blog Mechanics: Ideas Solicited On How To Handle Comments: Update
Posted inFun

Blog Mechanics: Ideas Solicited On How To Handle Comments: Update

It was remarked the other day that a comment moderation system of some kind should be used here on the blog. The reason is that are some people who come…
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How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis
Posted inStatistics

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…
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Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
Posted inPhilosophy

Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty

This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…
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Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests
Posted inStatistics

Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests

This is from Gerd Gigerenzer's "Mindless statistics" in The Journal of Socio-Economics, 33, (2004) 587–606. Have a go before looking at the answers (I'm giving my own, not quoting Gigerenzer).…
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Cult Of The Mask: List Of Documented Mask Side Effects; Vexed; More! — Coronavirus Update LXIX
Posted inStatistics

Cult Of The Mask: List Of Documented Mask Side Effects; Vexed; More! — Coronavirus Update LXIX

HOW TO WIELD POWER DeSantis suspends all local COVID-19 emergency orders Gov. DeSantis signed several executive orders to immediately suspend and eventually invalidate by July 1 all local emergency orders…
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Breaking: Wind From Tropical Cyclones Cure Hemorrhoids
Posted inStatistics

Breaking: Wind From Tropical Cyclones Cure Hemorrhoids

Lost count of the number of "studies" that feel---not think---that they must invoke terror to justify their undertaking. Take this peer-reviewed gem from Nature Communications by Robbie M. Parks and…
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Two Female Academics Blame Prayer For Women Not Being Men
Posted inStatistics

Two Female Academics Blame Prayer For Women Not Being Men

Two academic women are sure the last barrier to the fall of the patriarchy---and installation of the matriarchy?---is prayer. They said so directly in their peer-reviewed paper "The Hidden Cost…
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    " I have never been a conspiracy theorist, for the simple fact that keeping secrets with multiple (tens, hundreds, and…

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