Note: I wrote this on Saturday morning before the events of Sunday hilariously vindicated the conclusions below. My point was to illustrate how bets are not probabilities, though they do…

Did you know, dear reader, that not every person in the world believes in the Everettian (many worlds) multiverse? Shocked, aren't you. Maybe even outraged, our favorite emotion. I know…

ANON'S PLEA From Anon, describing a depressingly common situation (all personal details have been changed): I know that you get tons of messages so I understand if you pass on…

This classic post originally ran 25 July 2014. I have corrected the text where my enemies inserted errors. The original title said "global warming", as it used to be known,…

Ladies and gentlemen---and you, too, Hagfish---I present to you Science! In the form of the picture that heads today's post. This delightful children's drawing, presumably winning the Special Needs Science…

There is nothing magical or mystical about simulations, and "randomness" has nothing to do with any of them. Let's remove the unrealistic thinking from simulations by understanding them for what…

This isn't so much an extra proof, but a clarification on one of the proofs used in "Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof" (the first two arguments). Calculation of…