Search Results for “p-values” – Page 29

The Difference Between Essential And Empirical Models

I was having a back-and-forth with a colleague on modeling types (see this post for a modeling hierarchy) and falsifiability. It's crucial we distinguish essential and empirical models, but first…

Book review Statistics

Preface to Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics

The book is now at a 15% discount at Amazon (I apologize for the price). Buy today. And buy again tomorrow! This will be linked permanently on the book's official…

Statistics

The Hierarchy Of Models: From Causal (Best) To Statistical (Worst)

There is a hierarchy of models in the sense they offer insight into the thing modeled. The order of importance is: causal, deterministic, probabilistic, statistical. Most models use mixtures of…

Philosophy Statistics

Uncertainty (#1 New Release in Statistics) Book Page — Here Are The Details. Update!

This isn't the book page. This is. Or you can buy it here. The page is permanently located at the menu bar at the top of the page, at the…

Statistics

Cluster Failure: Biggest ‘I Told You So’ Yet. fMRI Stinks

As reader Nate Winchester surmised, today, the biggest I Told You So Yet. Headline: "MRI software bugs could upend years of research: This is what your brain looks like on…

Statistics

Number 1 Book In Epistemology & In Logic! Get It While It’s Hot!

It's probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, was "#1 New Release in Epistemology" then "#1 New…

Philosophy Statistics

The Bayesian Metaphor Can Do More Harm Than Good: Update

Quoting from a post on vampires, "In Bayesian inference, you start with some initial beliefs (called 'Bayesian priors' or just 'priors'), and then you 'update' them as you receive new…

Statistics

Brits Psychologists Cry “BS!” Over Research Practices. Or, Die P-Value, Die Die Die

In The British Psychological Society's official organ The Psychologist, two gents Tom Farsides and Paul Sparks, call BS on standard research practices. There is a worrying amount of outright fraud…

gareth on UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!October 29, 2025
Given that a met balloon had been released shortly before the impact (and NOTAMed) and that it stopped transmitting at…
Uncle Mike on Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer PapersOctober 29, 2025
Thinking about this sort of crapastrophe of logic and the time and money wasted can drive a sane person to…
Zundfolge on Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer PapersOctober 29, 2025
So yet again, every scientific study comes down to the REAL universal constant; E=F&G.
Mike Borgelt on UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!October 28, 2025
Very roughly 250 knots indicated airspeed is about 1.5 psi pitot pressure. This is about the indicated airspeed of an…
spetzer86 on Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970sOctober 28, 2025
In college during the 70's, it would get cold enough to freeze the Iowa river that passed through the UofI…