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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stream: So-Called Homophobia Now Being Labeled a ‘Mental Disease’

Today's post is at The Stream: "So-Called Homophobia Now Being Labeled a 'Mental Disease'". So now "homophobia" is being called a "mental disorder," where "homophobia" is defined in part as…
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Posted inCulture

This Week In Doom: A Mighty, Doom-Laden Seven Days

Thank You Sir, I'll Have Another Homosexual Activists Tell Kim Davis: 'We Will Kidnap Your Husband, Tie Him Up And Force Him To Watch Us Raping You. We Will Burn…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Rhode Island Mandates HPV Vaccine, Tells Parents, “We’re The Government And Can Do What We Like”

I'm not sure what it is with lawmakers. Are they only interested in increasing control over citizens' lives? Or is it that in combination with ignorance? Let the Boston Globe…
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Posted inStatistics

Frequenstism Is Entirely Ad Hoc; And So Are Priors. Use The Third Way Instead

https://twitter.com/learnfromerror/status/638841417461276672 Short note today, because today, and most days for the next couple of weeks, are book days. I am nearly finished with the damned thing. I'm now handling drudgery…
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Posted inStatistics

Rare Win For Forces Of Sanity: Or, PM2.5 Isn’t As Scary As We’ve Been Told

Quick note to a news story in which I have an interest. WORLD LOGISTICS CENTER: Moreno Valley OKs megawarehouse on 3-2 vote After three years of controversy that has divided…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Briggs Is Available To Speak. Update

You've seen the videos...You've read the papers...You know the blog...Now hire the man! For a limited time only---All men are mortal, Briggs is a man, etc.---W. M. Briggs is available…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability & Statistics Cannot Prove Cause

Correlation I was at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness conference in Ontario (LA) California and gave my paper The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause, which…
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Posted inStatistics

Idols With Wee P Values. Statistics As Ritual

Or, rather, wee p-values are idolized. And it isn't just me saying so. Reader Dan Hughes points us to Gerd Gigerenzer and Julian Marewski's peer-reviewed paper "Surrogate Science: The Idol…
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  1. Briggs on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 21, 2025

    Uncle Mike, By a strange coincidence, you hit upon the very example I used in the class after Thanksgiving. Pr("loaded"…

  2. Uncle Mike on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 21, 2025

    What if you rolled a six-sided die 60 times and scored a 10 for each side (1-10, 2-10, 3-10, 4-10,…

  3. Ronald Conneely on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    Great analysis as usual but be careful, you are bordering on that dreded (R----t) area. Would hate to lose your…

  4. Williis Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, that's what I figured, just wanted to verify it. w.

  5. Briggs on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Willis, Sure, you can change the model to remove the probability leakage. Careful modelers would. The vast majority would not,…

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