Posted inStatistics
How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?
Since this is typically the slowest week of the year---even Christmas is busier---this is a good time to introduce something strange. About twenty years ago I wrote a skeptical (do…
Posted inStatistics
Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness
WARNING! If you're attempting to read this via email and not on the site, you might encounter problems: the text might look like gibberish. The LaTeX interpreter, which I need…
Posted inClass Statistics
Class 7: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Intuition Check
Link to all Classes. Video Thanks to an anonymous donor for the gift of the new equipment, which has resulted in a New & Improved! picture and sound. Thanks, too,…
Posted inPhilosophy
Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real
Anon writes: Mr. Briggs, I am trying to understand the statement in the title. It [probability] is a measure of uncertainty. It is a measure of what we know or…
Posted inStatistics
An Instance Of How “The Science” Is Produced: Gender Equality Edition
This post is, as they say, in the weeds. But it's necessary for those who want to know how The Science is produced. I saw a tweet, the veracity of…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong
Probability does not exist; therefore, nothing has a probability, so nothing can be caused by probability, though the uncertainty of statements can be had conditional on assumptions, and this probability…
Posted inStatistics
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
If you have trouble viewing this in the email, please click the title and read it on my site. This one was too much fun, so I hope you will…
Posted inStatistics
How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series
Day five of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
