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William M. Briggs

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The Charlie Kirk Killing Theories: The (Non)-Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories 2
Posted inStatistics

The Charlie Kirk Killing Theories: The (Non)-Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories 2

There is a point about bad science at the end. I didn't count, but I think it was less than 48, and surely less than 72, hours after Charlie Kirk…
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Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This
Posted inStatistics

Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This

My last attempt to you convince you to think logically about evidence and reject P-values. Video https://youtu.be/Jj8MIUmzQzU Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble * Bitchute * Class Page…
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Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters
Posted inStatistics

Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters

Many think confidence intervals are an improvement over P-values. Not really, no. There is no one alive, or dead, who interprets a confidence interval as theory demands. All (as in…
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Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee
Posted inStatistics

Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee

It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…
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Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!
Posted inStatistics

Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!

We want Pr(H|Evidence), we get Pr(Data we didn't see | H false). And then everybody pretends they are the same. Why why why. Video https://youtu.be/WIZN3BesJps Links: YouTube * Twitter -…
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Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure
Posted inStatistics

Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure

In the Class, which I know all readers are dutifully following, bless you, I often cite Tyler Vigen's Spurious Correlations site. It is a glorious (growing) compendium of ridiculous results…
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Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II
Posted inStatistics

Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II

Hypothesis testing has told us what probably isn't true. It can't see all evidence. Here's how to do it right. Video https://youtu.be/5yoRSQMWle4 Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble…
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Class 58: Hypothesis Testing Is All Wrong
Posted inStatistics

Class 58: Hypothesis Testing Is All Wrong

We want Pr(Hypothesis true|Evidence) but get Pr(Data we didn't see | Hypothesis false). This makes no sense, but I promise that is what is done. My friends, it gets real…
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  1. NLR on Against Numerology: Some Basic CalculationsOctober 19, 2026

    The mathematician Richard Guy wrote a paper "The strong law of small numbers", where he said, facetiously, but also serirously:…

  2. aGrimm on Book UpdateOctober 16, 2026

    I'm looking forward to the book; warts and all the first was enlightening and fun to read.

  3. John Pate on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I'm a big fan of LaTeX. I wrote a class package that made it into one or more of the…

  4. Ursula on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    i have your first edition which I read, pencil in hand foor the typos. Loved it anyway! Will be buying…

  5. Brian (buaoren) on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    Hello again, friend Briggs How colloquial is your French? Please allow me to be te first to wish you; Merde!

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