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Coronavirus Update VIII: Blown Forecasts & Peak Performance
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update VIII: Blown Forecasts & Peak Performance

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores
Posted inStatistics

Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores

This is really a Part I of a series of articles about the latest trend (fad?) in statistical biology, but I didn't want to label it that way, which would…
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An Infinity of Null Hypotheses — Another Anti-P-Value Argument
Posted inStatistics

An Infinity of Null Hypotheses — Another Anti-P-Value Argument

This is extracted from this set of papers, which should be read in full. An ordinary regression model is written      mu = beta_0x_1 + ... + beta_0x_p, where mu…
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Control Groups With No Cancers In Hormesis Data Sets
Posted inClass Statistics

Control Groups With No Cancers In Hormesis Data Sets

A well known paper by Duport et al. on radiation hormesis makes a statement about control groups which is not quite right. The paper is "Database of Radiogenic Cancer in…
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Case Study Of How Easy It Is To Go Wrong
Posted inStatistics

Case Study Of How Easy It Is To Go Wrong

We used to talk a lot about the amygdala here: Yet Another Study "Proves" Liberal, Conservative Brain Differences (wee ps, amygdalas), Scientists Suddenly Discover Men Don't Understand Women (wee ps,…
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Yes, There Is A Hot Hand In Basketball
Posted inStatistics

Yes, There Is A Hot Hand In Basketball

On the Second of March in the Year of Our Lord One Thousand Nine Hundred Sixty-Two, well before the sport became another venue for pencil-necked political correctness, a basketball player…
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Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update V — Madness Has Arrived

All the good stuff, caveats, code, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, and Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus, so go…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1
Posted inStatistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1

We are finally at the most crucial part of the modeling process: proving if the damned thing works. Not "works" in the sense that we get good unobservable parameter estimates,…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To SaySeptember 17, 2025

    Sorry, the same printer's devils who occasionally sabotage Dr. Brigg's publications must have attacked my previous post; Should read; "ouroboros".…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To SaySeptember 17, 2025

    I just thunk up a term to describe this scientiststic strain of thought (hmm, is that one pun or two?);…

  3. Rex8or Legitimax Prime on Chinese Scientists Pull Off Hilarious “Climate Change” Troll?September 17, 2025

    They didn't include the red meat is bad thing, they need to try harder, 7/10.

  4. Rex8or Legitimax Prime on Chinese Scientists Pull Off Hilarious “Climate Change” Troll?September 17, 2025

    They got the temperature increase, sugar is bad and disadvantaged affected disproportionately things in but there's no red meat kills…

  5. Cookie on The Various Solutions To Black Crime AnalyzedSeptember 17, 2025

    The cure for recidivism has always been hanging.

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