Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan
Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2
Mandatory! Read Part I, Part II. I will ignore all comments already answered in Parts I & II. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part II New (Free) Software Regression 1
Mandatory! Read Part I. I will ignore all comments already answered in Part I. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. Update If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.2!…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part I New (Free) Software Introduction
Introduction Here's what we always want, but never get, using the old ways of doing statistics: The probability that some proposition Y is true given certain assumptions. Like this: …
Posted inClass Statistics
There Is No Prior? What’s A Bayesian To Do? Relax, There’s No Model, Either
I saw colleague Deborah Mayo casting, or rather trying to cast, aspersions on Bayesian philosophy by saying there is "no prior". Bayesians might not agree, but it's true. Mayo's right.…
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The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Premature Birth Rate Edition
Hypothesis testing leads to more scientific nonsense than any other practice, including fraud. Hypothesis testing, as regular readers know, cannot identify cause. It conflates decision with probability and leads to…