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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part I New (Free) Software Introduction
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part I New (Free) Software Introduction

Introduction Here's what we always want, but never get, using the old ways of doing statistics: The probability that some proposition Y is true given certain assumptions. Like this:     …
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Using P-Values To Diagnose “Trends” Is Invalid
Posted inClass Statistics

Using P-Values To Diagnose “Trends” Is Invalid

Look at the picture, which is real data, but disguised to obscure its source. It is a physical measurement taken monthly by a recognized authority. The measurements are thought to…
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Probability Of Abiogenesis? There Isn’t One
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability Of Abiogenesis? There Isn’t One

Remember before when we agreed nothing has a probability? Bully. So if no thing has a probability, neither does abiogenesis, since abiogenesis is a thing. Since abiogenesis is a thing…
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Choose Predictive Over Parametric Every Time
Posted inClass Statistics

Choose Predictive Over Parametric Every Time

Gaze and wonder at picture which heads this article, which I lifted from John Haman's nifty R package ciTools. The numbers in the plot are made up whole cloth to…
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Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad
Posted inClass Statistics

Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad

The graph above (biggified version here) was touted by Simon Kuestenmacher (who posts many beautiful maps). He said "This plot shows the objects that were found to be 'the most…
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There Is No Prior? What’s A Bayesian To Do? Relax, There’s No Model, Either
Posted inClass Statistics

There Is No Prior? What’s A Bayesian To Do? Relax, There’s No Model, Either

I saw colleague Deborah Mayo casting, or rather trying to cast, aspersions on Bayesian philosophy by saying there is "no prior". Bayesians might not agree, but it's true. Mayo's right.…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
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The Sixth and Best Way to Fix Statistics
Posted inStatistics

The Sixth and Best Way to Fix Statistics

Nature had Five ways to fix statistics, which asked a few folks, some of whom are our friends, how to shore up the sandy soil of statistics. Thanks to Al…
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