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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Every Result Of Unsupervised Learning Is Correct; Or, All Learning Is Supervised

The real point I wish to make is that there is no such thing as unsupervised learning; or, stated another way, Truth exists; or, stated another way, every solution to…
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Posted inStatistics

Real Versus Statistical Control

The ideal experiment is one in which control is exerted over all aspects of an environment. We desire to measure an outcome; for ease suppose this is a simple number.…
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Posted inStatistics

A Simple (But Not Short) Stats Question

From reader JH: Thank you again for taking the time to write your blog. It is exceptionally thought-provoking. My job involves much of the six sigma "capability" studies and such.…
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Posted inStatistics

The Alternative To Null Hypothesis Significance Testing

This article jumps right in with continuous-valued probability models, which are explained in Uncertainty, as is the subject of this article in great detail. This article is only a rough…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Big Bang, Eternal Inflation & Many Worlds

We're back to our Edge series of ideas scientists wish more people knew about. Today is John C. Mather and the Big Bang. Mather isn't pleased with popular conceptions. What…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Tipler’s Tipsy Parallel Universes of Quantum Mechanics

We're back on our Edge series of concepts scientists wished more people knew about. Today's entry is Frank Tipler's Parallel Universes of Quantum Mechanics. Tipler: In 1957, a Princeton physics…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Statistics Isn’t What You Think

Back to our Edge series. Sean Carroll says Bayes's Theorem should be better known. He outlines the theorem in the familiar updating-prior-belief formula. But, as this modified classic article shows,…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Mathematical Association of America Reviews Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics

William J. Satzer at the Mathematical Association of America reviewed Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Here it is (ellipsis below original). This is a book about probability…
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  1. Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…

  2. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    I'm struggling to extrapolate this to the case when the thing I'm estimating is a probability. Let's say I observe…

  3. hudbwu on Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970sNovember 7, 2025

    I didn't come here for ~two months. Then I come back and ... *shit's gotten weird, son.* o.O At least…

  4. Northbrae on Diversity Patrol Scanning Citations For VictimsNovember 7, 2025

    Cheers from Florida, land of the ugly beasts known as womanatees. Meritocracy is now Ancient Herstory. Sheesh.

  5. RANDOM TIDS & BITS- Thu 3/20/24- – WAXX on The Sports Illustrated curse and regression to the meanNovember 6, 2025

    […] Illustrated” once determined that their cover is a JINX 37% of the time.  So about two out of every five…

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