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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Robert Heinlein And The Distinction Between Scientist vs Academician

Christos Argyropoulos ‏(@ChristosArgyrop) asked me to comment on his post of the same title at the blog Statistical Reflections of a Medical Doctor. Heinlein: One can judge from experiment, or…
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Posted inStatistics

(Most) Everything Wrong With Time Series

It came out at my recent meeting that a compilation of everything wrong with time series was in order. A lot of this I've done before, and so, just as…
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Posted inStatistics

Topographical Data Analysis Next Great Hope

Everybody who remembers how neural nets were going to save the world, raise your hands. Little higher. Make sure everybody sees. Well, you were wrong, weren't you. They've all but…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Logical Probability Data Analysis, Measurement Error Example

Read the introduction to this first. If you don't, you will be lost, lost, lost. Logical probability answer to B The answer to B follows from A. The picture is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Alternative To P-Values

I apologize for the abruptness of the notation. It will be understandable only to a few. I don't like to use it without sufficient background because the risk of reification…
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Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof

Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…
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Posted inStatistics

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…
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Posted inStatistics

How To Mislead With P-values: Logistic Regression Example

Today's evidence is not new; is, in fact, well known. Well, make that just plain known. It's learned and then forgotten, dismissed. Everybody knows about these kinds of mistakes, but…
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