Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Alternative To P-Values
I apologize for the abruptness of the notation. It will be understandable only to a few. I don't like to use it without sufficient background because the risk of reification…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof
Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…
Posted inStatistics
Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming
This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…
Posted inStatistics
How To Mislead With P-values: Logistic Regression Example
Today's evidence is not new; is, in fact, well known. Well, make that just plain known. It's learned and then forgotten, dismissed. Everybody knows about these kinds of mistakes, but…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Scrap Statistics, Begin Anew
You or I might perhaps be excused if we sometimes toyed with solipsism, especially when we reflect on the utter failure of our writings to produce the smallest effect in…
Posted inStatistics
Selling Fear Is A Risky Business: Part Last
Read Part I, Part II. Don't be lazy. This is difficult but extremely important stuff. Let's add in a layer of uncertainty and see what happens. But first hike up…
Posted inPhilosophy
On The Probability God Exists
In order not to make the reader sick with jealously, I will not tell him that I sit on the porch on a bright summer morning mere steps away from…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Regression Really Is
Bookmark this one, will you, folks? If there's one thing we get more questions about and that is more abused than regression, I don't know. So here is the world's…