Posted inStatistics
On The Kaya Identity
A reader asked about my take on the Kaya wars that are flaming at Anthony Watts's place. Here is the form of the Kaya Identity, which is to say, the…
Posted inStatistics
Time Series And Causality: Global Warming Example
Temperature causes Here is an atmospheric monthly average temperature series: T = (61, 69, 69, 70, 72, 65, 63) (all F). What caused the temperature to take the value T1…
Posted inStatistics
The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)
I have decided to let you, dear reader, help me finish my book, which I have tentatively entitled The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics. This is about the seventeenth version…
Posted inPhilosophy
Philosophic Issues in Cosmology VI: Anthropic Coincidences—Guest Post by Bob Kurland
Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Statistics Really Is: Part I
It's so simple that you'll think I'm kidding. Worse, the way I'll show it is such a radical departure from the manner in which you're used to thinking about probability…
Posted inPhilosophy
Philosophic Issues in Cosmology IV: Creatio Ex Nihilo—Guest Post by Bob Kurland
Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…
Posted inCulture Statistics
HANDY Not So Dandy: NASA-Funded Mathematical Model Of Doom
Mathematically minded Remember back in the 1990s when otherwise intelligent people would look to the scientific literature and say, "Those guys must be right. They used a computer model." A…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What That Spurious Correlation Website Tells Us About Statistics
Many (thanks!) readers sent links to Tyler Vigen's Spurious Correlations, whose motto is "Discover a new correlation - an interesting spurious correlation each day!" My favorite is tying the yearly…
