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Posted inStatistics

An Ensemble Of Models Is Completely Meaningful, Statistically: Update 2

The Answer to Senn will continue on Monday. Look for my Finger Lakes winery tour tasting notes Sunday! Several readers asked me to comment on an ensemble climate forecasting post…
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Posted inStatistics

Unsignificant Statistics: Or Die P-Value, Die Die Die

Must...resist...quoting... from Stephen Ziliak's gorgeous invective "Unsignificant Statistics" (where I stole today's title) in the Financial Post. Well, just a little (all emphasis mine and joyfully placed): Statistical significance is…
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Posted inStatistics

Top 15 Posts Of All Time: My Choice

When last we met, that sodden yet miserably cold, supposedly summer-ish day, we gandered at the top 20 posts of all time, as decided by you, the reader. It's not…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part IV

Read Part III Just review and clarification this time, folks. Dirty hard work. But necessary given the confusion from last post. Time to pump some neurons! Next time we---finally!---get to…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Data Is The Data, Not The Model: With Climatology Time Series Example

How not to plot The following plot was sent to me yesterday for comment. I cannot disclose the sender, nor the nature of the data, but neither of these are…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Does The Regression Equation Mean? Causality? Something Else?

Saw this tweet this fine morning: https://twitter.com/MarkThoma/status/276542962622668800 and downloaded the paper at the landing site, co-authored by Judea Pearl, he of Causality fame (a recommended book). Pearl and a co-author…
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Posted inStatistics

Machine Learning, Big Data, Deep Learning, Data Mining, Statistics, Decision & Risk Analysis, Probability, Fuzzy Logic FAQ

Last Updated 3 December 2012, 7:24 AM EST. What's the difference between machine learning, deep learning, big data, statistics, decision & risk analysis, probability, fuzzy logic, and all the rest?…
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Posted inStatistics

Risk Analysis And Over Certainty: Classical vs. Bayesian vs. Predictive Statistics

There are two main uses of statistics by civilians, defined as folks who use statistics, who may have even had a class or two in the subject, but who are…
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  1. spaceranger on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 27, 2025

    The online world is our graven image and celebrity culture our false idol.

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of ThanksgivingNovember 27, 2025

    One thing I am always grateful for (well, 4 days a week) is being able to enjoy your posts. Thank…

  3. Uncle Mike on Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of ThanksgivingNovember 27, 2025

    Gratitude (n.) mid-15c., "good will," from Latin gratus "thankful, pleasing, agreeable" related to Latin gratis "favor, mercy, virtue" (source of…

  4. Tracy Platt on The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie TomorrowNovember 26, 2025

    I think Rudolf comes closest except for this being a garbage problem. My guess is we will see similar arguments…

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    Mr Harrier is on the right lines: see previous blog where I was berating sundry for worrying about using probability…

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