Search Results for “predictive statistics” – Page 5

Solved: The Best Bayesian Prior To Use In Every Situation

Kevin Gray is back with another question, this time about priors. His last led to the post "Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed." (The answer was…

Philosophy Statistics

Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Ending The Tyranny Of Parameters!

Here it is! The one, the only, the peer-reviewed (and therefore true) "Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Solving the Evidential Crisis" (the link is to the pdf, which is 11 MB;…

Statistics

Claiming To Be Able To Blame Weather Events On Global Warming

This is not a big story, but it's worth highlighting because of the pernicious effects of science journalism, which suffers from the same faults as political journalism. Emphasis on extremes,…

Statistics

I Bring You Glad Tidings! Three New Papers Prove (Again) You Can Take Them Off Without Worry

"Masks don't work" is a proposition, like all propositions, that carries implicit definitions. In this case it means mask mandates don't reduce the spread of respiratory diseases. It does not…

Statistics

Rare Week Of Good News, And Some Bad — Coronavirus Update XCIV

JOY IN THE STREETS If not joy, then at least some broad grins. This is the first week, in the nearly 100 we have been tracking, in which we have…

Culture Statistics

A Review Of The Covid Panic: Starting With Taleb’s January 2020 Frenzy & Ending In Our New Concentration Camps

This is update CIX. Let's summarize, shall we? My first post on the panic was 27 January 2020: "Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus". Taleb almost at…

Philosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…

Class Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part XI

Review! We left off with comparing the standard, out-of-the-box linear regression with our multinomial predictive observable model. The great weaknesses of the regression were probability leakage (giving positive probability to…

CCReed on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025
A somewhat different take on the late Z-Man: https://bestservedcole.substack.com/p/the-z-man-story
CorkyAgain on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025
I think I stopped listening to radio around the time when Paul Harvey was no longer there to tell us…
The True Nolan on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025
@Alex: "The other abomination on the am dial is black talk radio. In Chicongo. Pure raciacist hatred of all things…
Cary Cotterman on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025
I've got a beautifully restored 1936 RCA Victor super-heterodyne "Magic-Eye" console radio with standard broadcast (AM), short-wave, and medium-wave bands,…
Cloudbuster on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025
"(Note: I was going to recommend Zman for his tight and disciplined podcasts. Alas, this good man died before his…