Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
It’s No Coincidence: Rarity Is Subjective
I have in my hand---you'll have to trust me---a certain blade of grass. He is my favorite. The titling curvature of his blade can only be described as rakish, although…
Posted inStatistics
What Are The Chances NASA’s Rogue Satellite Kills You?
Watch the skies! Identified flying objects released into space by NASA might fall on somebody's head, or at least land nearby a noggin, on Friday, 23 September 2011, at 12:43…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What’s The Difference Between A Confidence Interval And A Credible Interval? Update
Twitter @ceptional reminded me of this post, which I had forgotten. Since it is highly relevant to The Great Bayesian Switch, I decided to repost. Some minor errors in grammar…
Posted inStatistics
Statistical Results Associated With Increased Risk Of Exaggerating Risk
Our title, which is indistinguishable from a flood of others1, might read, "Reading Articles About The Misuse Of Statistics Increases Risk Of Apoplexy." Yes, for every article you read like…
Posted inCulture Statistics
The Environmentalist Fallacy Causing Global Warming Divide To Grow
A headline lifted from an MS-"Bias free"-NBC story: "Americans' divide over global warming getting deeper" (linked on HotAir). Subtitle: "Despite onslaught of science, resistance to the idea seems to be…
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics
Are Humans As Violent As In The Good Old Days?
If we had records of massacres as we have meteorological records, don't you think we might discover their internal laws, after several centuries of observation? --- Joseph de Maistre. There…
Posted inStatistics
I’m Selected As An IPCC Expert Reviewer
Update Dear William Briggs, The IPCC Working Group I (WGI) Co-Chairs are pleased to announce the Expert Review of the First Order Draft (FOD) of the WGI contribution to the…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Robert Heinlein And Evolving Probabilities
Writer Stephen Dawson, a long-time participant at this blog, wrote and asked the following: In his The Moon is a Harsh Mistress, Robert Heinlein had his intelligent computer calculate the…
