Search Results for “probability” – Page 103

Statistical Results Associated With Increased Risk Of Exaggerating Risk

Our title, which is indistinguishable from a flood of others1, might read, "Reading Articles About The Misuse Of Statistics Increases Risk Of Apoplexy." Yes, for every article you read like…

Culture Statistics

The Environmentalist Fallacy Causing Global Warming Divide To Grow

A headline lifted from an MS-"Bias free"-NBC story: "Americans' divide over global warming getting deeper" (linked on HotAir). Subtitle: "Despite onslaught of science, resistance to the idea seems to be…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

Are Humans As Violent As In The Good Old Days?

If we had records of massacres as we have meteorological records, don't you think we might discover their internal laws, after several centuries of observation? --- Joseph de Maistre. There…

Statistics

I’m Selected As An IPCC Expert Reviewer

Update Dear William Briggs, The IPCC Working Group I (WGI) Co-Chairs are pleased to announce the Expert Review of the First Order Draft (FOD) of the WGI contribution to the…

Philosophy Statistics

Robert Heinlein And Evolving Probabilities

Writer Stephen Dawson, a long-time participant at this blog, wrote and asked the following: In his The Moon is a Harsh Mistress, Robert Heinlein had his intelligent computer calculate the…

Culture Statistics

British Judge Rules Against Bayes’s Theorem

A British judge has thrown a use of Bayes's rule out of his court. Not only that, his honor (Lordship?) ruled "against using similar statistical analysis in the courts in…

Statistics

A Case Of Failed Peer Review: Dust And Death

The distance between what civilians think peer review is and what it actually is suffers from the same failing as that evinced by Han Solo---rare pop culture reference!---when he boasted…

Statistics

BEST’s Worst Work; What Is Significant?

You will have already seen this comparison graph from the Daily Mail. That paper points out correctly that the version of the plot provided by BEST is presented in such…

hudbwu on Academics Call Pregnancy A DiseaseMay 13, 2025
A moment of silence for all the pain and suffering Briggs endured to bring us this comedic piece. Trully, greatest…
hudbwu on Eggs and ‘PFAS-Easter’ or Selling Fear on the Day of Resurrection — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampMay 13, 2025
I would have preferred if the dosage for the toxins in rats were expressed in the same units as the…
Ray on Eggs and ‘PFAS-Easter’ or Selling Fear on the Day of Resurrection — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampMay 13, 2025
"All substances are toxic; only the dose determines whether a substance is not toxic. Even oxygen is toxic." We neeed…
Briggs on Eggs and ‘PFAS-Easter’ or Selling Fear on the Day of Resurrection — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampMay 13, 2025
Hagfish, I still remember my grandpa putting a tiny saccharin tablet into his coffee.
spetzer86 on Eggs and ‘PFAS-Easter’ or Selling Fear on the Day of Resurrection — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampMay 13, 2025
I ultimate end-point is that we all die. Some sooner, some later. You can be healthy as a horse one…