Search Results for “probability” – Page 119

Scratch-off Lottery Tickets: Expected Payouts, A Hidden Benefit?

Update See the comments, but thanks to readers' arguments I believe I was wrong in an essential calculation. I've reworked the text to correct my error, which was small in…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is Cause? — Guest Post by DAV

Regular readers will recognize DAV as a regular contributer whose humorous voice of reason has kept many conversations on target. Today he presents ideas to spur a discussion of causality,…

Fun

Mathematical Magic Trick: 8 4-Digit Numbers Summing To 35712?

From reader Noble Abraham comes this question: Is it possible to create a pool of distinct four digit numbers, so that the sum of 8 randomly chosen numbers from this…

Philosophy Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part V

Part I, II, III, IV, V. We started by assuming each X was measured without error, that each observation was perfectly certain. This is not always so for real X.…

Philosophy Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part IV

Part I, II, III, IV, V. We have before us X1 to X156. We started by assuming that something, called T, caused these data to take the values it did.…

Philosophy Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III

Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that "increased" means a combination of "linear…

Philosophy Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part II

Part I, II, III, IV, V. Before us are the observations X1 to X156. Recall we are assuming that each of these X has been measured without any error. Given…

Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part I

This series originally began 5 February 2012. Part I, II, III, IV, V. We've gone on and on about how to think about time series, but we are having trouble…

Uncle Mike on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026
KBJ is a flaming "liberal" Marxist typical of her identity group. She and they endorse sodomy and grooming of children…
Heresolong on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026
"the community has determined that efforts to change a patient’s sexual orientation or gender identity will necessarily be ineffective." And…
gareth on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 7, 2026
Well written Briggs. When people, informed by BBC or Sky, used to say "that Idiot Trump" or whatever, I used…
Uncle Mike on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026
On Easter Sunday no less. I recall when Joe Dementia declared Easter to be National Tranny Day. I thought he…
Johnno on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026
Hey Cary D... what about those countries run by religious lunatics who have made it very clear they want the…