Search Results for “probability” – Page 126

What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part II

Thanks to DAV for reminding me of a clarification. See yesterday's comments. This post is mostly bookkeeping. Tomorrow we do more examples. Sometimes, in contracts as in predictions, certain "unexpected…

Philosophy Statistics

What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part I

I say that the Detroit Tigers, the baseball team---baseball being the most sublime of all sports, and this team being the game's most stalwart representative---will beat the Boston Red Sox…

Statistics

Statistics Compared To Ladies Of Ill Repute?

While Theoretical Statistics is (mainly) a decent albeit rather boring mathematical discipline (Probability Theory is much more exciting), so called Applied Statistics is in its big part a whore. Finding…

Statistics

I’m Selected As An IPCC Expert Reviewer

Update Dear William Briggs, The IPCC Working Group I (WGI) Co-Chairs are pleased to announce the Expert Review of the First Order Draft (FOD) of the WGI contribution to the…

Statistics

Can fMRI Predict Who Believes In God? Part V

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V, Part VI, Part VII Quick review: people's heads were stuck in an fMRI; inside, they read questions to which…

Culture Fun Statistics

Predictions For 2011. How’d We do?

Last January 1st I asked for everybody to provide verifiable predictions for the year. Time for reckoning! Tomorrow I'll ask us to provide predictions for 2012, so hold off on…

Fun Statistics

Top 10 Sure Things: Which NFL Games Were The Easiest To Pick?

Today's post is over at Edgehogs. I wanted to see how extreme bookies would go in making NFL picks, as judged by the probabilities of home-team wins as derived from…

Fun Statistics

How To Find True Love: The Marriage Problem

MEB + ARK, a.k.a. the Haystack Hunters, wrote the following: As fans of your work in real life probability and breaking the law of averages, we were hoping you could…

Ray on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 12, 2026
Remember the old song by Morris Albert? Feelings Nothing more than feelings Trying to forget my Feelings of love ETC.
John M on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026
Yes, Happy Veterans Day from Petty Officer First Class John. I look forward to the book! I enjoyed the first.
Bill Hankel on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026
An impressive list that I shall look forward to reading when my wife (or son) buys it for me for…
Brian (bulaoren) on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026
Yes, time to stock up on necessities.
Cary Cotterman on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 9, 2026
I'm still laughing about "Debolina".