Search Results for “probability” – Page 124

Statistics Of Loeb’s “Observed Changes In Top-Of-The-Atmosphere Radiation And Upper-Ocean Heating Consistent Within Uncertainty”

The paper is "Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty" by Norman Loeb and others in the journal Nature Geoscience. I'm pressed for time, so for…

Philosophy Statistics

Curtis’s The Science Of Subjectivity

An unfocused post today; just some notes on a paper. Busy day for me. Andrew Curtis wrote, "The science of subjectivity" in the January 2012 issue of the journal Geology…

Philosophy Statistics

What’s The Difference Between A Confidence Interval And A Credible Interval? Update

Twitter @ceptional reminded me of this post, which I had forgotten. Since it is highly relevant to The Great Bayesian Switch, I decided to repost. Some minor errors in grammar…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

The Great Bayesian Switch

Update: See this post on the definition of confidence and credible intervals. Submitted for your approval, a new paper. A polemic describing in nascent terms the paradise that awaits us…

Philosophy Statistics

What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part III

This inescapable fact, that the conditioning evidence is only assumed and is therefore subjectively defined, is responsible for much acrimony about accuracy. Thus the reason we attempt to eliminate wiggle…

Philosophy Statistics

What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part II

Thanks to DAV for reminding me of a clarification. See yesterday's comments. This post is mostly bookkeeping. Tomorrow we do more examples. Sometimes, in contracts as in predictions, certain "unexpected…

Philosophy Statistics

What A Prediction Is And What It Is Not: Part I

I say that the Detroit Tigers, the baseball team---baseball being the most sublime of all sports, and this team being the game's most stalwart representative---will beat the Boston Red Sox…

Statistics

Statistics Compared To Ladies Of Ill Repute?

While Theoretical Statistics is (mainly) a decent albeit rather boring mathematical discipline (Probability Theory is much more exciting), so called Applied Statistics is in its big part a whore. Finding…

John Pate on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026
Until we get back to burning heretics at the stake I don't see any solution to this kind of behaviour.
John Pate on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 24, 2026
Private companies still run enormous R&D labs but they're funded by black budget "defence" appropriations doing the Devil's work. They…
Cary Cotterman on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026
Brosch and his ilk don't know squat about "scientific facts". They deal in pseudoscientific nonsense.
McChuck on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026
I refuse, on general principles, to use the Left's Newspeak. She is a whore, or prostitute if we're being polite.…
Tars Tarkas on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 23, 2026
"And who better to help relay the urgency of climate change than sex workers? “ I hate the widespread use…