[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0002.mp3[/podcast] On today's lecture: Quick review All knowledge is conditional on evidence, which eventually leads back to our intuitions. The steps in an argument that make it valid are also…

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0001.mp3[/podcast] First lecture: I'm away to a conference this week, and so thought it would be fun to start a lecture series Understanding Statistics and Probability (this is posting automatically---I'll…

This is a bit of a preview of a paper my friend Russ Zaretzki are working on. Take a gander at his pic: This is the probability that John McCain…

(This is a modified excerpt from my forthcoming---he said hopefully---book, on the subject of why probability cannot be relative frequency. This is to be paired with the essay on why…

A reader recently disputed my condensation of the tenets of Bayesian subjective probability. (I promised a thread on which we could discuss the matter more fully, so here it is.)…