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Posted inStatistics

Podcast Lecture #4: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0004.mp3[/podcast] Today's lecture: Format change The regular and statistics podcasts are undergoing some changes. Stay tuned to this page for details. Today's show is a little rushed because of this.…
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Posted inStatistics

Podcast Lecture #3: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0003.mp3[/podcast] Today's lecture: Review Logic: If our premises are that we have a six-sided die that we'll toss, and that only one side will show on that toss, and that…
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Posted inStatistics

Podcast Lecture #2: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0002.mp3[/podcast] On today's lecture: Quick review All knowledge is conditional on evidence, which eventually leads back to our intuitions. The steps in an argument that make it valid are also…
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Posted inStatistics

Podcast Lecture #1: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0001.mp3[/podcast] First lecture: I'm away to a conference this week, and so thought it would be fun to start a lecture series Understanding Statistics and Probability (this is posting automatically---I'll…
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What is the probability the Detroit Lions lose every game (again!)

I am from Detroit and I am a Lions fan; erstwhile, anyway. The Lions stink, stank, and have stunk since before I was born. They are lousy, appalling, and nausea-inducing.…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Breaking the Law of Averages: Real-Life Probability and Statistics in Plain English

It is finally done! You may order directly from the publisher here1. The book will also be available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, etc. in about a month. I'll update…
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Posted inStatistics

Probability of McCain win

This is a bit of a preview of a paper my friend Russ Zaretzki are working on. Take a gander at his pic: This is the probability that John McCain…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why probability isn’t relative frequency: redux

(Pretend, if you have, that you haven't read my first weak attempt. I'm still working on this, but this gives you the rough idea, and I didn't want to leave…
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  1. spaceranger on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 4, 2026

    I usually go with "b." or "Asia" on those multiple choice ones.

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    Polar bears have existed for at least half a million years, and possibly as long as a million. They have…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    Dr. Briggs I was afraid I'd hijacked your subject today with my, rather dark, "Walter Lantz" cartoon. Returning to your…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    While we're on the subject of "Ursus Maritimus"; In 1987, a group of amusement denied boys decided to make an…

  5. hudbwu on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    > But that’s because the setup is itself weird. It contains the implicit premise that more beliefs equals better survival,…

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