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Posted inStatistics

Podcast Lecture #4: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0004.mp3[/podcast] Today's lecture: Format change The regular and statistics podcasts are undergoing some changes. Stay tuned to this page for details. Today's show is a little rushed because of this.…
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Posted inStatistics

Podcast Lecture #3: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0003.mp3[/podcast] Today's lecture: Review Logic: If our premises are that we have a six-sided die that we'll toss, and that only one side will show on that toss, and that…
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Posted inStatistics

Podcast Lecture #2: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0002.mp3[/podcast] On today's lecture: Quick review All knowledge is conditional on evidence, which eventually leads back to our intuitions. The steps in an argument that make it valid are also…
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Posted inStatistics

Podcast Lecture #1: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0001.mp3[/podcast] First lecture: I'm away to a conference this week, and so thought it would be fun to start a lecture series Understanding Statistics and Probability (this is posting automatically---I'll…
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What is the probability the Detroit Lions lose every game (again!)

I am from Detroit and I am a Lions fan; erstwhile, anyway. The Lions stink, stank, and have stunk since before I was born. They are lousy, appalling, and nausea-inducing.…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Breaking the Law of Averages: Real-Life Probability and Statistics in Plain English

It is finally done! You may order directly from the publisher here1. The book will also be available on Amazon, Barnes and Noble, etc. in about a month. I'll update…
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Posted inStatistics

Probability of McCain win

This is a bit of a preview of a paper my friend Russ Zaretzki are working on. Take a gander at his pic: This is the probability that John McCain…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why probability isn’t relative frequency: redux

(Pretend, if you have, that you haven't read my first weak attempt. I'm still working on this, but this gives you the rough idea, and I didn't want to leave…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?March 20, 2026

    Hall of Fame essay. Post this again and often, whenever you have an opening.

  2. John M on Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?March 20, 2026

    Peer review: Larry and Curlie agreeing Moe has a good idea.

  3. Rudolph Harrier on Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?March 19, 2026

    It's always "I'm right, because all the experts say I'm right. You wouldn't want to disagree with the experts, would…

  4. John M on The Great Effeminization of the AcademyMarch 18, 2026

    Genesis 3:13 And the LORD God said unto the woman, What is this that thou hast done? And the woman…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on The Great Effeminization of the AcademyMarch 18, 2026

    I can't read the titles or the excerpts without laughing out loud. They are comedy gold.

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