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William M. Briggs

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How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
Posted inStatistics

How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?

In proving foresight may be vain:The best laid schemes o’ Mice an’ MenGang aft agley,An’ lea’e us nought but grief an’ pain,For promis’d joy! Lennie said, "I thought you was…
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Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
Posted inStatistics

Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. Pease don’t feel like you must. Yet, I have…
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Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
Posted inStatistics

Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves

There is a claim, said to be made by a prominent "neocon" in the Trump administration, that "Tucker Carlson and Nick Fuentes have both been named as possible domestic terrorists".…
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Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
Posted inStatistics

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
Posted inStatistics

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

You should choose Door B, the very door the male Boomer came out of. If you can't recall the setup, please first review it. Here is only the bare bones…
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Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
Posted inStatistics

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

A priest argued that the murderer kidnapper rapist ex-FedEx driver Tanner Horner deserved death for crimes so terrible even Stephen King wouldn't allow himself to ponder them, but, said the…
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Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Richard Dawkins reminds us of the important but neglected Big Muscles Fallacy: "I spent three days trying to persuade myself that Claudia is not conscious. I failed." Here's an equivalent…
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Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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    Marbles was a thing in my primary school in Cambridge, England in the sixties. I don't recall girls ever playing…

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    Somewhere, I have my brother's bag of marbles. I sometimes think I should go through them to see if there…

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    In the summer of 1960, in Fresno, California, I lost my promotional "KYNO Top-Dog Radio" boulder in a game of…

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    Briggs! Have you lost your marbles? (somebody had to say it) When I was a little kid, I was nuts…

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