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William M. Briggs

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Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
Posted inStatistics

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
Posted inStatistics

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

You should choose Door B, the very door the male Boomer came out of. If you can't recall the setup, please first review it. Here is only the bare bones…
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Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
Posted inStatistics

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

A priest argued that the murderer kidnapper rapist ex-FedEx driver Tanner Horner deserved death for crimes so terrible even Stephen King wouldn't allow himself to ponder them, but, said the…
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Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Richard Dawkins reminds us of the important but neglected Big Muscles Fallacy: "I spent three days trying to persuade myself that Claudia is not conscious. I failed." Here's an equivalent…
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Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
Read More
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
Read More
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
Posted inStatistics

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Might I beg you, if you find it useful, to show this article to those who are growing concerned or agitated about this story? Don't miss the ending. We hear…
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Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
Posted inStatistics

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 22, 2026

    Enough time has passed, since this post went up, for me to feel no need to stick to the topic.…

  2. David on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    I would also like to point out that slaves often had *better* medical care than their working-class white counterparts, being…

  3. Cary Cotterman on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Perhaps slave traders found low-intelligence blacks easier to capture, resulting in an intellectually challenged population of blacks in the U.S.…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Where do homicide rates fit in?

  5. McChuck on Is Moral Certainty Possible?August 20, 2026

    I am morally certain that murdering innocent children for fun and profit is evil. There. That was easy.

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