Posted inStatistics
Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way
Be sure to review the RIGHT way from last week. Today, of the infinite number of ways to go sour, we look at one common way modeling goes awry. Video…
Posted inStatistics
Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way
If you cite, enjoy, or create "research" or "studies", this post is a must. I've eschewed all math (given next time in The Wrong Way) and focused entirely on the…
Posted inStatistics
Class 66: The Difference Between Uncertainty and Decision
This is a post all should read, and not just those following the Class. It is of utter necessity we learn the difference between uncertainty and decision, and the uncertainties…
Posted inStatistics
Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This
My last attempt to you convince you to think logically about evidence and reject P-values. Video https://youtu.be/Jj8MIUmzQzU Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble * Bitchute * Class Page…
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Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters
Many think confidence intervals are an improvement over P-values. Not really, no. There is no one alive, or dead, who interprets a confidence interval as theory demands. All (as in…
Posted inStatistics
What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?
Here's the tweet (translated) from the AfD official channel: Sechs tote AfD-Politiker im NRW-Wahlkampf! Four deaths had already been confirmed. Now, according to current reports from Welt, two more have…
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Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee
It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…
Posted inStatistics
Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!
We want Pr(H|Evidence), we get Pr(Data we didn't see | H false). And then everybody pretends they are the same. Why why why. Video https://youtu.be/WIZN3BesJps Links: YouTube * Twitter -…