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William M. Briggs

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Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
Posted inStatistics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
Posted inStatistics

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

As happens throughout history, named persons end up meeting. In this case, Carl Jung and Wolfgang Pauli. As this article says: Jung and Pauli struck an unusual friendship, which lasted…
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Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
Posted inStatistics

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

If I had to pick one paper to represent why the Class is so important, about why so much which passes for science is unworthy, it might be the peer-reviewed…
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Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
Posted inStatistics

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 79: Time Series Example
Posted inStatistics

Class 79: Time Series Example

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
Posted inStatistics

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Here, I promise you, was "breaking" news from not long ago: "United States Representative Tim Burchett says aliens could be stationed in five or six underwater bases off the U.S.…
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Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don't expect all want to read these posts. So please don't feel like you must. Yet, I…
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