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William M. Briggs

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There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
Posted inStatistics

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Poor John Wayne Gacy. Reports are that the infamous mass murderer was looking up from his perch in Hell, musing about the more than thirty people he raped, tortured, then…
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Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
Posted inStatistics

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

Announcement: I wrote this Class for a general audience. Anybody can read it. And should if they are interested in Science. There's only a little notation, which can be ignored…
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Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
Posted inStatistics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
Posted inStatistics

A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?

As happens throughout history, named persons end up meeting. In this case, Carl Jung and Wolfgang Pauli. As this article says: Jung and Pauli struck an unusual friendship, which lasted…
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Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
Posted inStatistics

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

If I had to pick one paper to represent why the Class is so important, about why so much which passes for science is unworthy, it might be the peer-reviewed…
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Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
Posted inStatistics

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 79: Time Series Example
Posted inStatistics

Class 79: Time Series Example

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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    In the early '90s I was in a university writing class. We were required to exchange writing assignments for critiquing,…

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