Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
This is a revamped and updated classic post with new material. It first appeared on 6 February 2020. It's time to revisit this topic, as we'll see below. Polygenic scores…
![“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”](https://i0.wp.com/www.wmbriggs.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/nz.webp?fit=700%2C466&ssl=1)
Posted inStatistics
“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”
"Hey, Briggs. I saw your take on the leaked New Zealand vaccine data. Interesting. But why didn't you use [Insert My Favorite Statistics Model Here]?" [Blog, Substack mirror.] I'll tell…
Posted inPhilosophy
The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification
This belongs to the realm of supposition. I do not know if it's true, only that it seems possible. I do know that there must be a "Reenchantment of the…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Our Base Metaphors & Analogies Used In Science Have Outlived Their Usefulness: Part I
Metaphors and analogies exhaust themselves. No matter how useful they are as guides to thought, pushed too far they can loosen our grip on Reality or lead to stagnation, and…
Posted inStatistics
Register Your Predictions For 2023!
My Dear Friends, and, yes, Enemies, Happy New Year. As has been our tradition these many years, it’s time to register our predictions for the coming year. We looked at…
Posted inStatistics
Canada’s Science Coronadoom Model Discovers Canada’s Science Saved 800 Thousand Lives
Repeat after me: all models only say what they are told to say. Here it is, right from the hole of Theresa Tam (you recall it was that Canadian official's…
Posted inStatistics
The Difference In Means & Why P-Values Should Not Be Used — Excerpt From The Lake Michigan Dialogues
"Say, Briggs. Since you're Statistician to the Stars!, explain to me how I can tell if two means are different in a simple way that even I can understand." You…
Posted inStatistics
On The Limitations of AI: Predictions
This is on the philosophy (not mechanics) of the predictive limitations of so-called artificial intelligence models. AI is no different than other models in principle, being only statements which connect…
