Search Results for “probability” – Page 34

Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets

Note: I wrote this on Saturday morning before the events of Sunday hilariously vindicated the conclusions below. My point was to illustrate how bets are not probabilities, though they do…

Statistics

Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!

Link to all Classes. Video Announcement: In order to preserve sanity, I am not going to include any technical proofs in the Video lectures from now on. As important, indeed…

Statistics

Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whatever reason) The Infamous Coin Flipping Machine! Link to…

Class

Class 12: Psychic Card Guessing & The Proportional Syllogism

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whatever reason) Link to all…

Class

Class 11: One Son Born Tuesday & Relevance. Update: Homework Added!

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute HOMEWORK: RELEVANCE. A psychic is guessing cards from a standard poker deck…

Statistics

Life Outside Earth: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

SF writes: I’m reading Benedict XVI’s “In the Beginning” and he said something that has me thinking. According to Monod, there is in the universe not only necessity but also…

Class

Class 10: Minding Your Ps & Qs & Monty Hall

Class 10: Minding Your Ps & Qs & Monty Hall: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute HOMEWORK: You…

Statistics

Critique Of Specification Curve Analysis

Dear reader, this will be a tad difficult, but I urge you to plow through as best you can, because this is becoming "a thing" in some areas. I stripped…

Tracy Platt on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 26, 2026
What I miss even more than the ticket is a day skiing at Brighton for $1.10. Carumba! O.K, i dont…
hudbwu on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 25, 2026
P.S. And don't for a moment think we've escaped from the crutches of oblivion that ate all those books! A…
hudbwu on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 25, 2026
Here's a video that talks about all the books you will never, ever read. Watch and weep. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fcb2oLSb7Cs
Johnno on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026
Not only must we Follow THE SCIENCE (tm), but we must LIKE and hit the Notification Bell to be updated…
Johnno on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 24, 2026
NLR - My favorite pet peeve are restaurants where there are no printed menus, just QR codes to the menu…