My Dearest Supporters, Loyal Readers & Despised Enemies, As I said the other day, 2023 was a Transition Year. Things happened, events occurred, but none of these events had the…
There is this idea in statistics called the "bootstrap." The idea is not crazy, but it's not quite right either. Works like this: data comes in, and usually some parameterized…
I've pointed out many times some of the weaknesses of traditional statistical practices, and how the routine use of "hypothesis testing" leads to an ever-growing mountain of Broken Science. Some…
You go into the doc's office. He's not looking happy. He's holding your chart. "Mr Smith, I'm afraid I have some bad news for you." Give it to me straight,…
Heard of the Doomsday Argument, sometimes also called the Carter Catastrophe? It claims to be able to name the date, with a certain confidence, at which mankind dies off. It…
"Hey, Briggs. I saw your take on the leaked New Zealand vaccine data. Interesting. But why didn't you use [Insert My Favorite Statistics Model Here]?" [Blog, Substack mirror.] I'll tell…
I've finished an analysis of the New Zealand vax data. But since tempers are hot on this, and the subject is important, I want to be sure I haven't missed…
There are a lot of new readers, and many may not yet have heard of the epidemiologist fallacy. Few tools have been as productive at generating The Science. You know…