Search Results for “probability” – Page 40

All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False

Here's a typical recent propaganda headline: "Climate change made Libya flooding 50 times more likely: Report." This is not so. Here's another recent one from PBS: "Climate change made global…

Culture Philosophy

Somebody Might Get Hurt!

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…

Culture Philosophy

Stars In Our Eyes, Rotting Our Minds

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…

Philosophy

Does Admitting Spengler’s End Of Science Mean We Have To Accept Ways Of Knowing?

Let's expand a point made in the post Blish & Spengler On The End Science. Both Blish, in his summary of Spengler, and Spengler himself, said that West Civilization (in…

Statistics

How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series

Day five of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…

Class Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…

Statistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…

Statistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…

Cary D Cotterman on Contest Winner Announced!April 14, 2026
Here, on the street where I live, about every tenth house or so flies a flag announcing what the occupant…
Sid Porter on Contest Winner Announced!April 14, 2026
Always thought this one was first… supercalafragalisticexbislidoucious
Tars Tarkas on Contest Winner Announced!April 14, 2026
N is already taken and has been for centuries. But it would be hilarious if they added it to LGBT.
spudjr60 on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 14, 2026
Two of Mx. Watt's sources are DEMONIC and ultra-woke One is Howard Zinn, the other is "Counterfire"; according to it's…
Brian (bulaoren) on Contest Winner Announced!April 14, 2026
Now you've got me wondering about that, now defunct, live music club in New York; CBGB...And why exactly, was that…