Search Results for “probability” – Page 4

The Probability Of Being Accused Of The Hate Crime Of Disparate Impact Approaches 1

You're an employer who has to hire 100 employees to get your Meme Factory running. You'll hire the first 100 who come in the door. Given this information (and what…

Class

Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble This week I really could have benefited from seeing people's reactions. Ah, well. HOMEWORK It is true that "If p then…

Philosophy Statistics

How “The Science” Is Created By Not Understanding Belief & Decision Are Not Uncertainty & Probability

Stick with me on this not-so-easy subject, because I'm going to reveal a trick used to make you "Follow the Science!" Belief is an act. Uncertainty is a state. Decision…

Statistics

Nothing Has A Probability: Roulette Wheel Pays Off

There are two essential, crucial things to take from the article "The Gambler Who Beat Roulette", and I beg that you will remember both: 1. You are meant to lose…

Statistics

The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2

My dad and I built a coin flipping machine. Then made this video (you might have to click the link): LINK FIXED. Link, because the embedding is not working. https://youtu.be/8XX0iRAN--8…

Philosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…

Philosophy Statistics

Probability is Logic

I was reading a draft of a book our own Fr John Rickert's is working on. Visual Logic: Seeing Classical and Modern Logic: An Introduction, a neat little handbook showing…

Philosophy

On The Logical Probability Of The Truth Of Mathematical Theorems

I was reading through some of James Franklin's papers on logical probability in an effort to not embarrass myself when I make my speech at the Broken Science Initiative event…

spetzer86 on Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing TransanitySeptember 2, 2025
Don't forget the University of Texas "Tower Shooting". It's not like mass shootings never happened, but they were very rare…
Cary Cotterman on Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In YearsSeptember 2, 2025
"...a blatant attempt to sow public distrust in science and scientists." Lying asshats like Mann and Fauci have already quite…
Chaeremon on Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In YearsSeptember 2, 2025
they are Grokifying, always the next buzzword with maximal frequency of use -- when branching to topics or diving deeper…
hudbwu on Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing TransanitySeptember 2, 2025
Backlink: https://forum.lunduke.com/t/another-day-another-crazy-dude-on-mastodon/2294/23 The forum is not public, though...
Tars Tarkas on Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In YearsSeptember 2, 2025
"In doing so, the executive order threatens to reverse more than 80 years of scientific advancements that have given the…