Search Results for “probability” – Page 5

Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World

Here's how the AP climate doom article starts: Experts are ignoring the worst possible climate change catastrophic scenarios, including collapse of society or the potential extinction of humans, however unlikely,…

Philosophy Statistics

Probability is Logic

I was reading a draft of a book our own Fr John Rickert's is working on. Visual Logic: Seeing Classical and Modern Logic: An Introduction, a neat little handbook showing…

Statistics

Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause

Everybody has read, or seen adaptations of, Bram Stocker's documentation of Dracula, the undead count, unlate of Transylvania. From these pages and films, we all know how to kill a…

Statistics

Local & Necessary Truths In Mathematical Proofs — And Probability

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pp06oGD4m00 This video requires little math beyond what used to be taught in college. Its speaker is Terry Tao, who some say is the world's best living mathematician. Its (fun---truly)…

Class Statistics

Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question

From reader Ernst, this interesting probability/statistics question. First, NNT = number needed to treat, which is, stealing from this site to save time, "The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is…

Statistics

On Cause In Probability Models

Note This post originally ran 11 June 2019 under the title "When Cause Is Not A Cause -- Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The post itself is extracted and modified from this…

Philosophy Statistics

Subjective Probability Is Objective

Because certain forms of Bayesian probability, particularly so-called subjective probability, are being taken up in quantum mechanics, it's well to understand just what subjective probability is, if it's anything, and…

Class Statistics

When Does A Small Probability Mean Impossibility?

Question from reader Richard Stevens: A professional scientist, holding an MS in one of the hard sciences, addressed the argument that the probability of creating a protein or an enzyme…

Al on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 18, 2025
It wasn’t a blunder.
Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 18, 2025
John, you seem to be operating under the misunderstanding that I asked you a question or that I care about…
Johnno on Masking Morality With Science: Men Pretending To Be Women In SportsNovember 17, 2025
What is to be done? Accelerate it! Let the transgenders march through all the women's institutions to outcompete and purge…
Johnno on In Which An Atheist Becomes Sputteringly Angry Over Theist’s ArgumentNovember 17, 2025
Well Cary, the problem is that before you see God we are all very certain you are going to spend…
John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025
Willis, I'm trying to get you to think differently, not be antagonistic... although my sister says I'm "on the spectrum"…