Posted inStatistics
Forget Priors!
From Bill Raynor: Hello Matt, You like to discuss P(Y|M) a lot, but haven't spent much time talking about the practical construction of that. A topic I'd like to see:…
Posted inPhilosophy
Universal Skepticism Debunked — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor
Universal Skepticism and Its Problem with Pulling Goal Posts on Every Knowledge Claim Universal skepticism (otherwise known as absolute skepticism or global skepticism) is the view that real knowledge is…
Posted inStatistics
Nature Claims Cognitive Performance Declines After Being Exposed To A Candles
I used to review these papers in the hopes people would understand the old ways of doing statistics, in particular experiments on human subjects, were guaranteed to produce over-certainty. I…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Forget Randomization
I am only six months behind in answering thoughtful emails from readers. Here is one from Stephen Puryear: Dr. Briggs, please go back and elaborate on your ideas about why…
Posted inBook review Culture
A Stirring Spirited Speech: Bronze Age Mindset — Reviewed
Lo, the day is coming, blazing like an oven, when all the proud and all evildoers will be stubble, and the day that is coming will set them on fire,…
Posted inStatistics
The Sorrow And The Pity Of P-values
Thanks to the Wrath of Gnon, we have this report: Sorry, wrong number: Statistical benchmark comes under fire, from Phys.org. Earlier this fall Dr. Scott Solomon presented the results of…
Posted inStatistics
Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Miscarriages And Air Pollution Edition
I love air pollution. Smells like progress. Good for you. Nothing healthier. Except smoking. There, now that that's out of the way, let's get to the paper "Air pollution-induced missed…
Posted inPhilosophy
Computers Finding Math Proofs Is Not A Good Idea
It is probably obvious that whether a proposition is (necessarily) true is different than proving, in some formal system, that it is true. It is also clear that if you…