THE CLASS
UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Links to YouTube, Rumble, Bitchute, and Twitter inside each class. Jayne's Book (first part). Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack). Class 2:…
Posted inClass Statistics
Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!
The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It…
Posted inStatistics
Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners
Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…
Posted inClass Statistics
Coronavirus Statistics: R Code Included! — Updated With Hack To Adjust For New Reporting Methods
Intro I thought it would be fun to turn the daily coronavirus predictions I've been making into statistics class, complete with code. There are two parts to this: (1) the…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
AI Is Coming For You!
The picture heading the post is of an AI machine carrying a small child to a paperclip factory. Why is it every time I read one of these evil-AI-destroys-the-world stories…
Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores
This is really a Part I of a series of articles about the latest trend (fad?) in statistical biology, but I didn't want to label it that way, which would…
Posted inStatistics
You Can’t Predict The Unpredictable
There is, or might even not be, some BAD THING ahead of us. I don't know what it is, and you don't know what it is, and nobody knows what…
Posted inStatistics
Unnecessary Panic Over Coronavirus?
https://twitter.com/russian_market/status/1223889407981256704 My first thought was this was an Indonesian wet hijab contest. But, no. They are spraying people so that the spray seeps into skins and into bodies to kill…