Search Results for “probability” – Page 55

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Scott Alexander, late of Slate Star Codex, and New York Times doxee, is the subject of Curtis Yarvin nee Moldbug's latest. Rather, Alexander's (and Moldbug's? see postscript) Bayesian rationality is.…

Philosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…

Statistics

Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent

Editor's note I have strong views on statistical "significance", confidence intervals, p-values, and all that, finding them harmful and worse. However, Kossin used these concepts, and a criticism of his…

Statistics

UK Madness Level Turned To 11: Coronavirus Upate XLVIII

THE UK https://twitter.com/Albion_Rover/status/1348600356754903040 I said last week "The UK has lost its mind." They have moved to Madness Level 11 since then, proposing allowing people outside only once per week,…

Fun

How’d We Do On Our 2020 Predicitons?

Dismally. Lousy. That's how we did on our 2020 predictions. Nobody saw the global insanity of the lockdowns, the Cult of the Mask, the covidiots, the scale of the election…

Fun

Register Your Predictions for 2021!

As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. We did…

Statistics

FDA Releases Pfizer COVID Vaccine Safety Data: Should You Take It?

WHO'S IN CHARGE FDA report is here. Before discussing it, I want to emphasize that making this vaccine mandatory is evil, the work of tyrants. There is nothing in the…

Statistics

The Politicization Of Coronadoom: HCQ Example

Coronadoom has long been politicized; since day one, really. The best way to handle it, said political authorities, was the opposite of whatever President Trump said or hinted. That's how…

Another “Curate’s Egg?” Comments on Magnifica Humanitas – The American Catholic on Laudato Si: “The Curate’s Egg.” The Not So Excellent Parts. Guest Post by Bob KurlandJune 15, 2026
[…] If ever one wanted an analogy to show that a flawed work had good parts, it would be the…
Truly Random Numbers Found? – William M. Briggs on Quantum Potency & ProbabilityJune 15, 2026
[…] Which leaves open the possibility we might gain at least some knowledge of non-local causes. This article gives one…
Brian (bulaoren) on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 15, 2026
Wait...Does this mean that all those non-winning lottery tickets, I've bought over the years, were drawn from non-randomly-generated numbers? I…
McChuck on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 15, 2026
What QM leaves out of their "randomness is fundamental" picture is the state of the entire rest of the universe.…
John M on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 15, 2026
LarryG, I appreciate that sport and game participants can enjoy their favorite activity but that doesn't make the activity entertaining.