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Absolute Vs. Relative Risk Reduction; Trump Likes Vaccines;  The Fabulous Fauci; Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam Getting Theirs;  More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIII
Posted inStatistics

Absolute Vs. Relative Risk Reduction; Trump Likes Vaccines; The Fabulous Fauci; Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam Getting Theirs; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIII

WE CONTINUE The consensus---and we never buck consensii; consensuses?---was to keep these updates going for the time being, but expanding their scope. I have therefore cut back on some of…
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Defending The Canceled Mask Paper; Gain-Of-Lethality Confirmed?; Time We Quit These Updates? — Coronavirus Update LXXII
Posted inStatistics

Defending The Canceled Mask Paper; Gain-Of-Lethality Confirmed?; Time We Quit These Updates? — Coronavirus Update LXXII

NOTHING MORTAL GOES FOREVER Should we quit these updates? I know I've grown sick of them. Are you? Maybe replace them with articles when warranted, such as what our dear…
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Random Means Unknown Cause — And Nothing More
Posted inStatistics

Random Means Unknown Cause — And Nothing More

I've used this gimmick many times, so regular readers, please, shhh. I'm thinking of a number between 1 and 4. What is it? To you the number is random, because…
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The Awesome Occult Powers Of White Supremacists
Posted inCulture

The Awesome Occult Powers Of White Supremacists

It's difficult to remember how big parapsychology was in the 1970s. It was at that time taken seriously, or at least not dismissed, by a large number of what we…
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The Burden Of Proof On Climate Scientists—And Those Wishing For Its “Solutions”
Posted inStatistics

The Burden Of Proof On Climate Scientists—And Those Wishing For Its “Solutions”

UNCERTAINTY REQUIREMENTS If you say a calamity will befall me, and ask me to pay to protect against it, the burden is on you to (a) prove the calamity is…
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Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy

A new walks-into-a-bar joke begins (thanks to reader Kip Hansen for the tip): A mathematician, a philosopher and a gambler walk into a bar. As the barman pulls each of…
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Climate Attribution Studies Can’t Be Trusted — New Paper
Posted inStatistics

Climate Attribution Studies Can’t Be Trusted — New Paper

THE SKY HAS FALLEN Benny Peiser at the Global Warming Policy Foundation asked me to investigate so-called climate attribution studies. I did. They don't work. Since that's too brief a…
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Breaking: Wind From Tropical Cyclones Cure Hemorrhoids
Posted inStatistics

Breaking: Wind From Tropical Cyclones Cure Hemorrhoids

Lost count of the number of "studies" that feel---not think---that they must invoke terror to justify their undertaking. Take this peer-reviewed gem from Nature Communications by Robbie M. Parks and…
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  1. BDavi52 on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    You ask, "Why would anybody take a survey with such a slippery and indefensible list of questions seriously?” The answer…

  2. CorkyAgain on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    "how much sexual assault and harassment they enjoyed" Unless you're being snide (hardly unexpected), "enjoyed" should probably be "endured".

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    PS... I am regretting my use of the word "Unencumbered". I should of used Kamala Harris's term; "Unburdned". Madame Harris…

  4. Cary Cotterman on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    When I was twenty-two, and a bit drunk at a party, I kissed a woman I was not in a…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    Something today's women fail to recognize is that though a high body-count may make a male seem "Alpha" , that…

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