Search Results for “probability” – Page 56

Dear Quacks & Experts: Your Loss Function Is Not Our Loss Function

Note to the colleague who wrote me. I lost your email! You asked excellent questions about the post Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix, which I meant…

Philosophy Statistics

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Scott Alexander, late of Slate Star Codex, and New York Times doxee, is the subject of Curtis Yarvin nee Moldbug's latest. Rather, Alexander's (and Moldbug's? see postscript) Bayesian rationality is.…

Philosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…

Statistics

Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent

Editor's note I have strong views on statistical "significance", confidence intervals, p-values, and all that, finding them harmful and worse. However, Kossin used these concepts, and a criticism of his…

Statistics

UK Madness Level Turned To 11: Coronavirus Upate XLVIII

THE UK https://twitter.com/Albion_Rover/status/1348600356754903040 I said last week "The UK has lost its mind." They have moved to Madness Level 11 since then, proposing allowing people outside only once per week,…

Fun

How’d We Do On Our 2020 Predicitons?

Dismally. Lousy. That's how we did on our 2020 predictions. Nobody saw the global insanity of the lockdowns, the Cult of the Mask, the covidiots, the scale of the election…

Fun

Register Your Predictions for 2021!

As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. We did…

Statistics

FDA Releases Pfizer COVID Vaccine Safety Data: Should You Take It?

WHO'S IN CHARGE FDA report is here. Before discussing it, I want to emphasize that making this vaccine mandatory is evil, the work of tyrants. There is nothing in the…

Tars Tarkas on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 23, 2026
"And who better to help relay the urgency of climate change than sex workers? “ I hate the widespread use…
Brian (bulaoren) on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 23, 2026
Some people don't know the difference between "an oracle" and "an orifice".
McChuck on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 22, 2026
I have never seen a better example of why women should not be educated beyond the very basics necessary for…
Cary Cotterman on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 21, 2026
Every time I think I've read about an academic paper at the very bottom of the abyss of idiocy, another…
Tars Tarkas on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 21, 2026
"articulating that the checkboxes presume a reviewer who is an objective, disembodied expert untouched by power. " They aren't wrong…