Search Results for “probability” – Page 57

How Can Any Religion Have A Monopoly On Truth?

Soak this up (emphasis original): By the time she turned up in New York, [Justina Walford's] faith had long since unraveled, a casualty of overseas travel that made her question…

Class Statistics

Control Groups With No Cancers In Hormesis Data Sets

A well known paper by Duport et al. on radiation hormesis makes a statement about control groups which is not quite right. The paper is "Database of Radiogenic Cancer in…

Statistics

Low-Hanging Molecules Have Already Been Picked—Most New Drugs Provide No Benefit

Remember the old stock scam? Call up 1,000 people and tell half Stock A will rise, and tell the other half it will fall. Five hundred people will be slightly…

Class Statistics

Why The Bootstrap Seems To Work—And Why It Produces Over-Certainty

Let's drag the statistician's hoary threadbare ball-filled bag out of the cupboard to make a point. In it are 3 white balls and 2 black. Using the statistical syllogism, we…

Statistics

Paper Says Some Psychiatric Diagnoses “Scientifically Meaningless”

The title is an understatement: Heterogeneity in psychiatric diagnostic classification. This is a paper in Psychiatry Research by Kate Allsopp, John Read, Rhiannon Corcoran, and Peter Kinderman. Abstract (to which…

Statistics

Yes, There Is A Hot Hand In Basketball

On the Second of March in the Year of Our Lord One Thousand Nine Hundred Sixty-Two, well before the sport became another venue for pencil-necked political correctness, a basketball player…

Class Statistics

The Doomsday Argument Is Doomed: Flawed Application Of Bayes

The WSJ on 27 June 2019 published an essay by William Poundstone on the hoary Doomsday Argument. Many are fooled by this equation, which contains a fundamental, even glaring, flaw.…

Statistics

The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again — Pesticides & Autism

Long-time readers will recall the epidemiologist fallacy is a shotgun marriage of the ecological fallacy and wee p-values. Make that and/or confidence intervals. For confidence intervals are equivalent to p-values…

gareth on The Triumph Of The FeminineOctober 24, 2025
Love the picture. Wrong in several ways, but only those with the competence that this lady lacks would notice. I…
At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value? – William M. Briggs on Supreme Court Rules Civil Rights Act Applies To Gender Theory, Sexual “Orientation”October 23, 2025
[…] to “sexual orientation”. That “right” was teased out in 2020 by Neil Gorsuch, who is labeled a conservative. (The…
brad.tittle on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayOctober 23, 2025
I pull together a bunch of components from primary arms. I put a sight on top. I go to the…
Uncle Mike on The Triumph Of The FeminineOctober 22, 2025
I've always been appalled by the Lesbians for Abortion lobby. These "gals" don't produce babies (biological truth, Ketanji). So none…
Milton Hathaway on The Triumph Of The FeminineOctober 22, 2025
I felt an intense stab of searing phantom pain at first sight of the cover photo. I've heard that women…