Search Results for “probability” – Page 94

Calculating Markov Chain Stationary Distributions Is Immoral?

No, I don't think so, but the Census Bureau thought (thinks?) as much. What follows is one of the more curious emails I've received, describing the experiences of Juan (not…

Philosophy Statistics

Answering A Critic On Sampling Variability

Alfred 'Dominant Strategy' (ADS) is confused that "William Briggs is confused on sampling variability". I wrote an article highlighting misconceptions and mistakes people make when thinking about sampling variability, and…

Culture

I Made “Climate Denial MVP”!

Gollum (who's he? see this post on the political witch hunt of scientists) wrote yesterday to announce that a group of us made the "Climate Denial MVP" List. I admit…

Philosophy Statistics

Sampling Variability Is A Screwy, Misleading Concept

https://twitter.com/Bigdatanalysis/status/573739862924353536 Because of travel and jet lag, exacerbated by "springing forward", we continue our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles next week. If you can't read the tweet above, it says…

Statistics

Der Spiegel Asks About Global-Warming-Causes-Syrian-Civil-War Paper

That peer-reviewed Colin Kelley et al. paper "Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought", which the traddy media is portraying like Wired did---e.g. How…

Statistics

Journal Bans Wee P-values—And Confidence Intervals! Break Out The Champagne!

Well, it banned all p-values, wee or not. And confidence intervals! The journal of Basic and Applied Social Psychology, that is. Specifically, they axed the "null hypothesis significance testing procedure".…

Fun

Coming Clean On My Global Warming Funding

Since the "Why models run hot" flap started a witch hunt in Congress, I thought I'd give the complete story of my funding for any work of any kind done…

Statistics

How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part III

Read Part I, Part II Part III This brings us to the second reason for measuring model goodness. Or rather an incorrect implementation of it. A lot of folks announce…

Rudolph Harrier on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 16, 2026
During the COVID pandemic the Minnesota shut down directives were based on a computer model that said that tens of…
R W Pearson on On Not ReadingMarch 16, 2026
Good to hear you are an avid reader, Professor Briggs. The word processor gave us the boat anchor novel, and…
James on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 16, 2026
Why is a BRITISH journal (The Lancet) complaining about the US medical establishment? And given the current political establishment in…
bruce g charlton on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 16, 2026
As I have been saying for a couple of decades; science is dead (as a social institution) - but *medical*…
JR Ewing on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 16, 2026
"For these crimes, our rulers paid no price. Not directly." ----------------------- It depresses me when I think about it, so…