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Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World
Posted inStatistics

Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World

Here's how the AP climate doom article starts: Experts are ignoring the worst possible climate change catastrophic scenarios, including collapse of society or the potential extinction of humans, however unlikely,…
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How Does One Bring Oneself To Say “The Mortality Cost of Carbon”?
Posted inStatistics

How Does One Bring Oneself To Say “The Mortality Cost of Carbon”?

Many scientists have taken up sounding silly lately. On purpose. I don't here mean denying sex, where many have made perfect asses of themselves. I mean on "carbon". They say…
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The Six Kinds Of “Climate Deniers”, As Defined By Experts
Posted inStatistics

The Six Kinds Of “Climate Deniers”, As Defined By Experts

So the Institute for Strategic Decisions, a Disinformation think tank which supplies Official Truths to the regime, wrote an interesting document, "Deny, Deceive, Delay: Documenting and Responding to Climate Disinformation…
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How Expertism & The Woke Spreads In Science
Posted inCulture

How Expertism & The Woke Spreads In Science

The New England Journal of Medicine isn't exactly what its name indicates. It does tend to concentrate on publishing articles on various aspects of medicine. But it also engages in…
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Elena Kagan’s Blind Love Of The Expertocracy: SCOTUS Slaps The EPA
Posted inCulture

Elena Kagan’s Blind Love Of The Expertocracy: SCOTUS Slaps The EPA

SCOTUS ruled 6-3 that, in effect, without Congressional authorization, the EPA does not have the power to regulate carbon dioxide. Justice Elena Kagan dissented. Kagan opened her dissent thus (whole…
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The Mann Act: Banning All Fossil Fuels Immediately To Save The Planet
Posted inStatistics

The Mann Act: Banning All Fossil Fuels Immediately To Save The Planet

I don't want us to make too much of the individual behind the brief confession we're about to dissect, because if it wasn't him leading Team Irrationality, it would be…
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In Which We Answer The Pressing Question: Is Science Growing Stupider?
Posted inStatistics

In Which We Answer The Pressing Question: Is Science Growing Stupider?

I was asked this question the other day: "Is science becoming stupider?" I was forced to answer this way: "Boy, howdy! Science will be lucky to reach stupid the end…
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How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks
Posted inStatistics

How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks

Update This must be more difficult than I thought, judging by lack of questions or comments. If you do not understand, ask. Here is a picture of what they are…
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  1. C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie

  2. shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…

  3. Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…

  4. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    hudbwu, You could be right.

  5. hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…

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