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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Global Warming Non-Expert Expert

Reporteritis is the disease, or rather psychiatric condition, common among journalists, brought on by exposure to important people and events. The exposure causes the journalist to feel that he too…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Explanation Vs Prediction

Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Philosophic Issues in Cosmology V: What Measurements Tell Us—Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…
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Posted inStatistics

What I Have Learned From Global Warming: Contest Winner Essays 2. Plus Secret Bonus!

Another essay from the winners of the Rename Global Warming Contest is here! Plus, a special bonus, a treat for all readers! See below! Don't miss it! John Buckner, "Climactic…
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Posted inStatistics

What I Have Learned From Global Warming: Contest Winner Essays

Two of the essays from the winners of the Rename Global Warming Contest are in! A big hand from all, please. More are to come---when the winners send them in!…
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Posted inStatistics

Lovejoy’s New Attempt To Show We Are Doomed Does Not Convince

We last met Shaun Lovejoy when he claimed that mankind caused global temperatures to increase. At the 99.9% level, of course. He's now saying that the increase which wasn't observed…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Philosophic Issues in Cosmology: II. Relativistic Theories On Universe Origin—Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…
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  1. JH on Why Study Probability?November 14, 2025

     Then some decision rule that says “This much departure from uniformity means loading.” Which rule may be different for you…

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, but you haven't answered my question, either then or now. The last time I asked, I got this…

  3. Uncle Mike on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Or, Willis, you could take the course, study the classes, do the homework. Then, quite possibly, or even probably, you…

  4. Briggs on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Willis, I have answered the question each and every time. Go back and look at when you asked, and you'll…

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    This is my third time asking, and I'm beginning to think you're avoiding me. I have a single die. I…

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