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Posted inStatistics

Planet Earth Al Gore Explains ‘Snowmageddon’: Fox News Story

I was quoted by Gene Koprowski in his Fox News story "Planet Earth Al Gore Explains 'Snowmageddon'". (This accounted for the several hundred Google and other search engine redirects to…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…
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Posted inStatistics

What Is A “Climate Change Skeptic”? Assist With Definition

As requested by Richard Drake and J Ferguson, who began a conversation on a similar topic last week, this new post asks what is the best "opinion poll-ready definition of…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Ivy League Climate Skeptics

I received this email from Rob Fishman at the Huffington Post. My answer follows. I'm the social media editor here at HuffPost (and a Cornell alum). I came across your…
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Posted inFun

Ecoheroes For the Climate Join Global Warming Superheroes!

Remember Global Warming Superheroes? A site where I---cough, cough---made villain of the day? While glancing through my logs, I was led to Timberati: Reasonably green thoughts. The folks there were…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Is Like A Criminal Trial

What is A crime has been committed. Evidence---probative background information---points to a list of suspects, a list which, as always, might be incomplete. A most likely candidate is made to…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is A “Statistically Significant Trend”?

Longtime reader Nate Winchester found a discussion---among the many, many---of global warming data revolving around statistics, from which we take the following snippet: You just do the statistics on the…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Warming Causes Death

Work is catching up to me this week, so today only the briefest of reports, with the promise of a return to regularity after this weekend. Also keep those post…
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  1. Briggs on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 5, 2025

    John, Now that's very interesting. I would have loved to have heard that talk.

  2. John Pate on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 5, 2025

    This is why I laughed at the nonsense about Casinos using probability. All they care about is the House wins…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 4, 2025

    So, after a full day, nobody has commented. Well, I tried to wade through it all but, as William Safire…

  4. How Brain Structure Shapes Political Bias: The Neuroscience Behind Right-Wing Authoritarianism - Audette-O-Blog on Conservatives Produced By “Low Effort” Thinking: StudyDecember 3, 2025

    […] Conservatives Produced By “Low Effort” Thinking: Study – Why Boozy Barflies and Stressed Slackers Might Just Be the Truest…

  5. Richard S. on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherDecember 3, 2025

    I retrieved and read or skimmed Chanda's piece. Her article scarcely referenced actual counts and statistics, but some of the…

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