Posted inStatistics
Influential Forecasts
If I tell you that the price of a stock is going to increase and you believe me enough to rush out and buy that stock, the price of that…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
I’m Happy To Help, Judith Curry: Overconfidence In IPCC’s Detection And Attribution
Thanks to reader Roger Cohen for brining this to my attention. Atmospheric scientist Judith Curry recently ran a series of blog posts entitled, "Overconfidence in IPCC’s detection and attribution." In…
Posted inStatistics
“Climate Calamity” Rejected In Favor Of “Climate Disruption”
President Obama's White House has been hard at work trying to discover another term for global warming. The old phrase was deemed staid and passé, so much so that its…
Posted inStatistics
The McShane and Wyner Gordie Howe Treatment Of Mann
Many---as in lots and lots---of folks wrote in and asked me to review the McShane and Wyner paper. Thanks! Gordie Howe---Mr Hockey to you---didn't need his stick, his hockey stick,…
Posted inFun Statistics
A Time To Celebrate!
I am, once more, reliving my Air Force days. I am strapped into a seat designed for a midget, jetting across the Wild Blue towards the shores of Lake Michigan,…
Posted inStatistics
Consensus Members Agree To Agree: Breaking Story
The agreement amongst climatologists who agree that mankind will cause devastating climate change is popularly known as "The Consensus." Those who agree with the consensus are part of the consensus;…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
In Defense of Dogmatism
In so far as I have a coherent philosophy of statistics, I hope it is "robust" enough to cope in principle with the whole of statistics, and sufficiently undogmatic not…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Statistics as Beauty; Global Warming Miscellany; SATs Biased?; More
Statistics is Beautiful? From reader Yeah, Yeah comes a link to a Wired article which assures us we should "Learn the Language of Data." It's not a pretty language, but…