Search Results for “trend” – Page 33

Natural Variations In Weather DO NOT Explain The ‘Pause’: Update, With Letter to Nature

You create a model which predicts the sun will rise in the west. The sun fails to cooperate and rises in the east. Do you: Admit failure and return your…

Statistics

NEW PAPER: Why Models Run Hot: Results From An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Here's our press release. See also the Daily Mail. WHAT WENT WRONG? A major…

Book review Statistics

The Moral Case For Fossil Fuels Reviewed

People first Just in time for the Federally-Recognized-Holiday-Of-25-December-That-Shall-Go-Unnamed we have a suitable gift for science deniers everywhere. Alex Epstein's The Moral Case For Fossil Fuels Science deniers? Yes, sir. Those…

Philosophy Statistics

Don’t Use Statistics Unless You Have To

We're finally getting it, as evinced by the responses to the article "Netherlands Temperature Controversy: Or, Yet Again, How Not To Do Time Series." Let's return to the Screaming Willies.…

Philosophy Statistics

The True Meaning Of Statistical Models

This came up yesterday (again, as it does often), so I figure one more stab is in order. Because the answer isn't simple, I had to write a lot, which…

Statistics

The IPCC’s And McKitrick’s “Hiatus” Time Series Models

Several readers asked me to look at Ross McKitrick's paper "HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time Series", which is receiving the usual…

Statistics

We Know The Climate Is Warming Because It Isn’t

What do you call the mental process which allows a man to say "What's firmly established is that the climate is warming" while also holding that "There's been a burst…

Statistics

What I Have Learned From Global Warming: Contest Winner Essays

Two of the essays from the winners of the Rename Global Warming Contest are in! A big hand from all, please. More are to come---when the winners send them in!…

John Pate on Merry Christmas!December 25, 2025
Bah humbug!
Dave Bagwill on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 25, 2025
Took me a minute; thought my computer was acting up! Well done, and a Merry Christmas...
Brian (bulaoren) on Merry Christmas!December 25, 2025
Merry Christmas to you Dr. Briggs, and to all ye faithful (readers). A couple of days ago, I found myself…
Tars Tarkas on Merry Christmas!December 25, 2025
Merry Christmas Mr Briggs. Thanks for all the essays this year.
McChuck on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 25, 2025
Merry Christmas! "Render therefore unto Caesar the things which are Caesar's; and unto God the things that are God's."