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What The Heck Is Going On — Guest Post by A. Dismas
Posted inFun

What The Heck Is Going On — Guest Post by A. Dismas

EDITOR'S NOTE: This is just one of many extreme theories making the rounds. Even though half the damned planet is locked down, I still don't believe the theory below. I…
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Troy 2.0 — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Troy 2.0 — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

The question has fairly arisen: do I still stand by my prediction(s) made in my book, The Barbarian Bible. The answer, of course, is 'Yes'. Double yes, to be exact.…
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Cases Are Not Surging or Raging, Testing Is: Coronavirus Update XL
Posted inStatistics

Cases Are Not Surging or Raging, Testing Is: Coronavirus Update XL

ZERO TOLERANCE Please share this article widely. Because most have no familiarity with medical statistics, they are unable to put the coronavirus into perspective. The media and government has been…
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An Egregious Statistical Horror Story — Reprint Of George Gilder Column
Posted inStatistics

An Egregious Statistical Horror Story — Reprint Of George Gilder Column

Used with permission from the original American Institute for Economic Research article. Regular readers: No Doom tomorrow. With the latest reports of plummeting death rates from all causes, this crisis…
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Should We Have Trusted Expert Epidemiological Models?
Posted inStatistics

Should We Have Trusted Expert Epidemiological Models?

Neil Ferguson and his Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team colleagues scared the world silly in mid-March. They announced they ran a sophisticated epidemiological model which said Doom was on the…
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Coronavirus Update XXIII:  Yes, More Testing Leads to More “New” “Cases”
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXIII: Yes, More Testing Leads to More “New” “Cases”

The numbers, the only important part of this article, are in the last section. I heard on the radio the analysis I present is a "lie". Reason? Trump said more…
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Coronavirus Update XXIV: Why Did We Panic?
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXIV: Why Did We Panic?

The Unmasked Bandit! I originally started this article with an imaginary dialog between myself and a Karen. Then I got kicked out of mass Sunday for not wearing a mask…
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Coronavirus Update XXVII: The Central Fallacy of the Panic: Updates
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXVII: The Central Fallacy of the Panic: Updates

See the new analysis at the bottom, prompted by a question from Joe Bastardi. Update I have two words for the people who did this. You know what they are.…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  3. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  5. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

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