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Coronavirus Update XXIII:  Yes, More Testing Leads to More “New” “Cases”
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XXIII: Yes, More Testing Leads to More “New” “Cases”

The numbers, the only important part of this article, are in the last section. I heard on the radio the analysis I present is a "lie". Reason? Trump said more…
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Curtis Yarvin’s Plan A for the Coronavirus: A Postmortem — Guest Post by John Q. Public
Posted inStatistics

Curtis Yarvin’s Plan A for the Coronavirus: A Postmortem — Guest Post by John Q. Public

When the N-COVID-19 pandemic struck in earlier this year, the online "dissident Right" was divided between those who saw N-COVID-19 as a unique threat and those who thought the risk…
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The Fifth Column & Coming War On Us — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

The Fifth Column & Coming War On Us — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I would like to preface this post with the following thought. Never depart for Moscow after the Ides of March. Unless you like Russian winters, of course. Bear with me…
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Coronavirus Radio Replay: And Notes On Welcoming Tyranny
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Radio Replay: And Notes On Welcoming Tyranny

I originally had this scheduled for Monday, but shifted to Wednesday because of the z-score mania. So I'm sure there can be many more things to add to this. Last…
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An Egregious Statistical Horror Story — Reprint Of George Gilder Column
Posted inStatistics

An Egregious Statistical Horror Story — Reprint Of George Gilder Column

Used with permission from the original American Institute for Economic Research article. Regular readers: No Doom tomorrow. With the latest reports of plummeting death rates from all causes, this crisis…
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Coronavirus Update XI — Robbing The Cemeteries To Pad Death Totals
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XI — Robbing The Cemeteries To Pad Death Totals

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Should We Have Trusted Expert Epidemiological Models?
Posted inStatistics

Should We Have Trusted Expert Epidemiological Models?

Neil Ferguson and his Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team colleagues scared the world silly in mid-March. They announced they ran a sophisticated epidemiological model which said Doom was on the…
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Coronavirus Update IX: End Game—Will Politicians Double Down On Fear Or End It?
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update IX: End Game—Will Politicians Double Down On Fear Or End It?

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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  1. John Pate on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 13, 2026

    Supposedly AI is making everyone dumber. We can achieve equality via AI, there's nothing it can't do.

  2. John Pate on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 13, 2026

    Qualia are the key to intelligence and not epiphenomena. Fancy auto-complete will never think.

  3. Christopher C Reed on Another Academic Says Climate Skeptics Criminals Against Humanity And Other Name CallingFebruary 12, 2026

    Congratulations on your promotion to Ringfueher, er...Ringleader! I suppose there may now be an opening for Henchman?

  4. Brian. (bulaoren) on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    A lot of Americans have come to suspect that the "dumbing down" of the population is a real, and deliberate…

  5. Heresolong on Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam PerformanceFebruary 11, 2026

    I can't but I don't understand most of the abbreviations. I look forward to your analysis.

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