Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XXIV: Why Did We Panic?
The Unmasked Bandit! I originally started this article with an imaginary dialog between myself and a Karen. Then I got kicked out of mass Sunday for not wearing a mask…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XXIII: Yes, More Testing Leads to More “New” “Cases”
The numbers, the only important part of this article, are in the last section. I heard on the radio the analysis I present is a "lie". Reason? Trump said more…
Posted inStatistics
Curtis Yarvin’s Plan A for the Coronavirus: A Postmortem — Guest Post by John Q. Public
When the N-COVID-19 pandemic struck in earlier this year, the online "dissident Right" was divided between those who saw N-COVID-19 as a unique threat and those who thought the risk…
Posted inStatistics
The Fifth Column & Coming War On Us — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
I would like to preface this post with the following thought. Never depart for Moscow after the Ides of March. Unless you like Russian winters, of course. Bear with me…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Radio Replay: And Notes On Welcoming Tyranny
I originally had this scheduled for Monday, but shifted to Wednesday because of the z-score mania. So I'm sure there can be many more things to add to this. Last…
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An Egregious Statistical Horror Story — Reprint Of George Gilder Column
Used with permission from the original American Institute for Economic Research article. Regular readers: No Doom tomorrow. With the latest reports of plummeting death rates from all causes, this crisis…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XI — Robbing The Cemeteries To Pad Death Totals
All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
Posted inStatistics
Should We Have Trusted Expert Epidemiological Models?
Neil Ferguson and his Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team colleagues scared the world silly in mid-March. They announced they ran a sophisticated epidemiological model which said Doom was on the…