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Posted inStatistics

Some Like It Hot: The Hottest Year Ever Inside A Global Warming “Pause”? The Stream. Updates

I rarely ask this, but I'd like you all to go The Stream and pass my article on to as many as you can. (Don't link here, but link at…
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Posted inStatistics

Natural Variations In Weather DO NOT Explain The ‘Pause’: Update, With Letter to Nature

You create a model which predicts the sun will rise in the west. The sun fails to cooperate and rises in the east. Do you: Admit failure and return your…
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Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
Posted inStatistics

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
Posted inStatistics

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
Posted inStatistics

Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes

Thanks to whoever sent the Dice (there was no note or name attached). They work! Some are recognizing testing is flawed, but they seek refuge in "effect sizes", which is…
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Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
Posted inStatistics

Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice

This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
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Diversity Patrol Scanning Citations For Victims
Posted inStatistics

Diversity Patrol Scanning Citations For Victims

Pity me. I just had a paper rejected because, as one reviewer said, "Although your cure for cancer seems genuine, and would likely help people suffering from that dread disease,…
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Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years
Posted inStatistics

Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years

We've all seen those videos in which hersterical (there is no misspelling) chubby women rant at their cellphone cameras in cars. They begin their fantasies slowly, saying single phrases after…
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  1. _Jim on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 10, 2026

    I echo Jean Lesperance's response ... overbooked to too many blogs these days!

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 10, 2026

    82.5 degrees Fahrenheit isn't even "hot", let alone "extremely hot". American football is played in summer, by guys wearing thick…

  3. Tars Tarkas on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 10, 2026

    I seriously doubt 82.4 degrees hampers the action in any event. These are young male world class athletes in the…

  4. spetzer86 on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 10, 2026

    If they wanted temperatures below 82F in the American mid-West they should've scheduled for Nov-Feb. Imagine a Twin Cities game…

  5. Tony Cooke on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 10, 2026

    Maybe they should move all the games to the tropics. That would slow things down to the point of such…

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