Posted inStatistics
What The Law Of Large Numbers Really Means
JJ Couey, who hosts a podcast well known to some of you, and friend of the Broken Science Initiative, asked me about the so-called Law of Large Numbers. Jay wonders…
Posted inStatistics
In Which Feynman Makes A Mistake: Negative Probabilities (Used In AI, QM, Finance)
Richard Feynman wasn't the first to suggest negative probabilities. That recognition goes to Paul Dirac, who introduced them and negative energies at the same time---because he thought these things explained…
Posted inCulture
Serf’s Up! — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Haven’t said much lately. Been little to say. Simply time to watch. Watch the Emperor’s men, watch Vlad. Decisions approach as the rain ends, the ground freezes and the ballots…
Posted inStatistics
Class 32: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)
All can and should read this post! Not just those actively taking the Class. This is an introduction to Epidemiology, a science which has done tremendous damage to clear thinking.…
Posted inPodcast
Briggs On The Steel On Steel Podcast Discussing Official Disinformation (which requires Official Truths), The WHO, OEJ, ETC
One day before they "paused" the Disinformation Governance Board, I was interviewed by John Loeffler at Steel on Steel. The "pause" only means they'll keep doing what they've been doing…
Posted inStatistics
You, Dear Reader, Are An Extremist
We live in the Golden Age of Comedy. Need proof? Somebody said this imagery (embiggened one here) was like Hitler and Stalin had a baby. This could happen, too, because…
Posted inBook review Philosophy
Why The Many Worlds (Multiverse) Interpretation Of Quantum Mechanics Is Wrong: A New Objection
UPDATE I caused great confusion by putting the word "multiverse" in the title, when there is a whole other theory called "the" multiverse. Yet I did this because Hossenfelder herself,…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist
Lisping Rationalists When I read people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander it becomes clear to me how the French could have built a Temple of Reason during The Terror.…
