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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday

Posted by By Briggs May 21, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”

Posted by By Briggs May 20, 2026
Continue Reading
“More to review from the Biden team” — Open Thread
Posted inClass

“More to review from the Biden team” — Open Thread

Special Saturday post. I am delighted to say that I had guessed wrong about Musk. I had thought he'd never fight the Regime in any serious way. Very happy about…
Read More
Why The Continuing Appeal Of The Appeal To Non-Authority Fallacy?
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Why The Continuing Appeal Of The Appeal To Non-Authority Fallacy?

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Ladies and gentlemen, allow me to introduce to you proof that "climate change" has completed its transformation from Science into yet…
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Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties
Posted inStatistics

Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. We know all about models by now, do we not, dear readers? A model, also known as a theory, can be…
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What Is A Model? We need to know to test between good and bad science
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is A Model? We need to know to test between good and bad science

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, BitChute, and Gab. Before we describe what models are in science, it's best to know, and to never forget, that all models only say…
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Dutch Regime To Seize Private Land Because Of Faux Nitrogen Crisis – A Brutal Example Of The Science
Posted inStatistics

Dutch Regime To Seize Private Land Because Of Faux Nitrogen Crisis – A Brutal Example Of The Science

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Today's podcast has a lot more material than the written post, because, mainly, I was livid over this land grab. It's…
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It Takes Just As Much Free Will To Punish As To Do Wrong
Posted inPhilosophy

It Takes Just As Much Free Will To Punish As To Do Wrong

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Thing that always cracks me up about anti-free will arguments is the contradictions. Too many of those arguments take this shape:…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: The Damned
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Damned

Previous post. It's one way---or the other. ON THE QUALITY OF THE RISEN BODIES AMONG THE DAMNED 1 From these points one can, of course, reasonably consider what sort of…
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Aella Girl’s Curious Spinning Circle Results: Why Do The Probabilities Match The Bets?
Posted inFun Statistics

Aella Girl’s Curious Spinning Circle Results: Why Do The Probabilities Match The Bets?

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, Gab. Something fun on a lazy day. I was asked to comment on this tweet: https://twitter.com/Aella_Girl/status/1594144435000213505 Before we get to it, and if…
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  1. James on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    The same logic applies to the phenomenon of "ball lightning". It sounds credible, but there are no photos of it…

  2. Uncle Mike on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayMay 21, 2026

    Please enjoy your well-earned respite. Warmth is indeed a boon and blessing -- it's in the eighties here today and…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    There are clear photographs of just about any phenomenon imaginable, regardless of how fast, distant, small, or ephemeral it may…

  4. Steve on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    Briggs, you fool! You should know by now that extraterrestrials have image blurring technology. And before you ask, yes, they…

  5. McChuck on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    "Tomorrow Tomorrow never comes What kind of a fool Do they take me for? Tomorrow A resting place for bums…

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