William M. Briggs

Yuval Harari’s Homo Deus: Marketing The Materialist World View — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Reading your typical book is like sitting on the grandstand of a racetrack. You see the race cars whizzing by, and you sort of feel the excitement of the race,…

Statistics

Let’s Look At All Cause Deaths Again

It's been a while since we looked at all-cause deaths (some of this is for the new readers). This is the one statistic that can't be cooked or juiced; or…

Culture

Take This Fun Political Quiz Inspired By Canadian Truckers

QUIZ Test your knowledge of politics and political theory with this Fun Quiz! 1. Name the form of government in which it is illegal to criticize the regime. 2. Define…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Christ Was Not The Holy Ghost’s Human Son

Previous post. Combining two weeks into one, the lessons being so short. THAT CHRIST WAS NOT THE SON OF THE HOLY SPIRIT IN THE FLESH 1 Now, although Christ is…

Culture

Experts—Trust Them!—Discover Coronadoom Misinformation Causes Depressive Symptoms

Gettin' bad out there, friends. Lot of people poppin' happy pills. Pills, that is, designed by Experts to make them happy. Or what Experts say passes for happy. Pills that,…

Philosophy Statistics

Solved: The Best Bayesian Prior To Use In Every Situation

Kevin Gray is back with another question, this time about priors. His last led to the post "Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed." (The answer was…

Book review

Celebrity Scientist Neil deGrasse Tyson Speaks — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong

This excerpt comes in Chapter 20, Science. First comes the Science Is Self-Correcting Fallacy, followed by the My Grant Was Funded Therefore My Theory Is True Fallacy, which is a…

Statistics

There Was No Panic In The Similar 1957-58 Pandemic; But Panic Galore For Coronadoom

There is much fun contrasting earlier approaches to pandemics and our Great Global Panic, now entering it's third---and final?---year. Let's take the 1957-1958 Asian (the novel H2N2) flu, the worst…

JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…
Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025
What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…
Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…
Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…
JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…

William M. Briggs

Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models

Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?

Reproducibility Crises Will Be Forever With Us Until We Abandon Classical Statistics

AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor Lie

Class 48: What Is A Model?

I’m Going To Sue Scientists Who Gave Me Apoplexy Over Claims Of Climate Liability

Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your Money

The Sun Made To Set On The British Empire – Via Science!

Class 47: Billions Of Models!

A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin Reviewed

Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested

Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness

The Educational Empire Strikes Back

Can Jinn & The Evil Eye Cause Disease?

Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active

Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification

New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look

A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence

Power Restored, Posts To Resume

No posts, class. No power, no internet

MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies