Statistics – Page 115 – William M. Briggs

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan

Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…

Culture Statistics

Governments Demand Encryption Backdoors

The Blonde Bombshell warned us about the "Five Eyes". It's illegal for our most beneficent government, which loves us and only wants what is best for us, to spy on…

Culture Statistics

Pew’s Materialistic Mix Up

Pew has a new survey result with title Americans are far more religious than adults in other wealthy nations. Key was the picture below---or at their site, bigger and better,…

Statistics

That Paper About Hiring Chief Diversity Officers At Universities

The paper is "The Impact of Chief Diversity Officers on Diverse Faculty Hiring" by Steven W. Bradley, James R. Garven, Wilson W. Law, and James E. West. (Thanks to John…

Philosophy Statistics

Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting

Yep I've disagreed with Judea Pearl before on causality, and I do so again below; but first some areas of agreement. Some deep agreement at that. Pearl has a new…

Statistics

Chaos & Outrage In The Church — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Chaos and outrage have again engulfed the Church. We must talk about this incredibly ugly and painful boil on the Body of Christ. To lance a boil, you must insert…

Class Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.3! Only the example code…

Statistics

Does It Mean I’m Psychic?

Years ago I wrote and self-published for fun the book So, You Think You're Psychic? You can download a free PDF of it on the Books page. There's nothing wrong…

Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025
Mark, That's exactly it.
Mark on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025
Wittgenstein gave some examples like this in his Remarks on the Foundation of Mathematics, a book I had no business…
hudbwu on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJuly 1, 2025
The wrinkle is in the (pseudo-)random number generator. In principle, the random number generator can be hijacked by a higher…
hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025
I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…
hudbwu on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJuly 1, 2025
> It is a characteristic of the breed—on average: we speak in generalities here—that in any argument women do not…